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2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 29.1% 70.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.2% 48.8% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs +7 (62-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. DuBois 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 3 25 31 -
J. Loveridge 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 2 10 22 -
G. Dean 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 3 4 -
C. Martin 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 8 12 -
D. Bachynski 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 3 3 3 15 -
J. Washburn 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 2 10 -
A. Dotson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 0 -3 -
D. Tucker 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
J. Seymour 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Taylor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Lenz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Russell 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 1 0 4 4 12 -
R. Manuel 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 14 17 -
J. Jones 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 1 1 1 2 20 37 -
C. Cunningham 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 4 4 2 8 23 -
S. Williams 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 10 11 -
L. Giles 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 10 -
J. Dickerson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Bernardi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter