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Utah State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History
Coach: Stew Morrill

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

65.0
PPG
67.0
Opp
-2.0
Margin
44.2%
FG%
41.7%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
31.0
RPG
13.0
APG
10.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.5
Adj PPG
63.7
Adj Opp PPG
#127
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1071 (#124) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1051 (#130) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1018 (#140) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +3.0 (#126) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +3.0 (#121) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.614 (#114) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.8 More → 0.661 (#115) AdjNet +5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.9 More → 0.663 (#114) AdjNet +5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.563 (#127) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 63.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.547 (#131) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.587 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.584 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 134 | GP 30 More → 1064 (#119) RD 134 | GP 30

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Weber State Wildcats W 72 - 61
2014-11-16 @ Illinois State Redbirds W 60 - 55
2014-11-19 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 60 - 54
2014-11-22 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 63 - 71
2014-11-26 @ UC Davis Aggies L 70 - 77
2014-12-02 vs BYU Cougars L 81 - 91
2014-12-07 @ USC Trojans L 84 - 89
2014-12-13 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 50 - 47
2014-12-18 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 57 - 56
2014-12-19 vs Idaho State Bengals W 69 - 56
2014-12-20 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 65 - 68
2014-12-27 vs Wayland Baptist Pioneers W 75 - 63
2014-12-31 vs San José State Spartans W 61 - 33
2015-01-03 @ Boise State Broncos W 62 - 61
2015-01-07 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 52 - 61
2015-01-10 vs New Mexico Lobos L 60 - 66
2015-01-17 vs Air Force Falcons W 71 - 59
2015-01-20 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 70 - 54
2015-01-24 @ UNLV Rebels L 77 - 79
2015-01-27 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 56 - 44
2015-01-31 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 42 - 62
2015-02-03 vs Boise State Broncos L 63 - 68
2015-02-07 @ New Mexico Lobos W 63 - 60
2015-02-10 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 75 - 62
2015-02-18 @ San José State Spartans W 76 - 54
2015-02-21 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 85 - 79
2015-02-24 vs UNLV Rebels W 83 - 65
2015-02-28 @ Air Force Falcons W 74 - 60
2015-03-04 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 53 - 76
2015-03-07 vs Colorado State Rams L 70 - 75
2015-03-12 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 65 - 67

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jalen Moore Jalen Moore F 27 34.3 15.6 6.3 1.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 22.8 79 29 2.7 3.3 42.9 38.5 85.7 0.83 675.7 51.8
Chris Smith Chris Smith G 27 32.6 12.8 3.6 2.7 0.7 0.2 1.5 1.0 17.6 123 29 4.2 5.6 38.5 46.2 60.0 3.03 611.7 50.0
David Collette David Collette F 1 27.0 11.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 12.0 102 29 3.5 5.8 66.7 0 75.0 1.6 70.9 66.7
Darius Perkins Darius Perkins G 27 29.7 9.4 2.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 2.2 0.9 12.8 69 29 2.4 3.4 50.0 57.1 50.0 -1.06 493.0 66.7
Julion Pearre Julion Pearre G 27 23.3 5.8 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 1.3 0.9 8.0 73 29 2.5 4.4 47.8 35.7 100.0 -0.96 311.5 58.7
JoJo McGlaston JoJo McGlaston G 26 21.3 5.5 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.6 1.2 0.6 9.4 14 28 0.5 1.0 46.7 25.0 50.0 -0.26 405.3 50.0
Trace Cureton Trace Cureton F 9 7.3 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sean Harris Sean Harris F 27 11.9 1.6 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 4.4 61 29 2.1 7.5 100.0 0 0 0.68 1100.0 100.0
Elston Jones Elston Jones F 24 10.2 1.5 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 4.5 -25 27 -0.9 -4.0 57.1 0 25.0 -3.08 205.5 57.1
Henry Bolton Henry Bolton G 26 8.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.8 19 27 0.7 3.3 25.0 0.0 0 -1.34 262.5 25.0
Viko Noma'aea Viko Noma'aea G 12 4.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2 0 13 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.74 0 0
Sam Orchard Sam Orchard - 8 6.1 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Konner Frey Konner Frey F 3 2.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG