Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Watson * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Julien Lewis * | 37 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Marvelle Harris * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Karachi Edo * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cezar Guerrero * | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Alex Davis | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Emmanuel Owootoah | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Darnell Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Moore * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Darius Perkins * | 29 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Julion Pearre * | 25 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| JoJo McGlaston | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Elston Jones | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Henry Bolton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sean Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter