UTSA Roadrunners
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 984 (#161) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1071 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1047 (#100) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.4 (#177) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.8 (#186) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.670 (#76) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.423 (#185) | AdjNet -2.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.419 (#185) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.494 (#162) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 73.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.535 (#119) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 71.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.501 (#161) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.509 (#157) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1040 (#127) | RD 136 | GP 29 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-16 | N | Maine | W | 73 - 56 |
| 2001-11-17 | @ | Florida International | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2001-11-28 | @ | Nebraska | L | 63 - 81 |
| 2001-12-01 | vs | Illinois State | W | 88 - 82 |
| 2001-12-07 | N | Idaho State | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | Missouri State | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2001-12-15 | @ | Texas Christian | L | 85 - 91 |
| 2001-12-20 | vs | Lamar | W | 74 - 67 |
| 2001-12-22 | vs | Sam Houston | W | 90 - 74 |
| 2001-12-29 | @ | McNeese | L | 55 - 71 |
| 2002-01-03 | vs | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2002-01-05 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 93 - 65 |
| 2002-01-10 | vs | McNeese | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2002-01-17 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 70 - 72 |
| 2002-01-19 | @ | Northwestern State | L | 86 - 88 |
| 2002-01-24 | vs | UT Arlington | L | 91 - 95 |
| 2002-01-26 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2002-01-31 | @ | Lamar | W | 78 - 72 |
| 2002-02-02 | @ | Sam Houston | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2002-02-04 | @ | UT Arlington | W | 92 - 84 |
| 2002-02-08 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2002-02-10 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2002-02-16 | vs | Texas State | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2002-02-21 | @ | Nicholls State | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2002-02-23 | @ | Southeastern Louisiana | W | 64 - 50 |
| 2002-02-26 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | L | 62 - 73 |
| 2002-03-02 | @ | Texas State | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2002-03-04 | vs | Texas State | W | 99 - 83 |
| 2002-03-06 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 62 - 64 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.