UTSA Roadrunners
Model Outputs
1994-1995
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 903 (#190) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 960 (#172) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1017 (#124) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.6 (#214) | HCA +3.5 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.2 (#241) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.448 (#169) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.274 (#208) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.272 (#208) | AdjNet -8.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.376 (#202) | AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 78.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.423 (#205) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 76.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.381 (#195) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.390 (#195) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 964 (#166) | RD 131 | GP 26 |
1995 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-12-03 | @ | Tulsa | L | 57 - 77 |
| 1994-12-10 | @ | Drake | L | 99 - 105 |
| 1994-12-18 | @ | Arizona State | W | 87 - 85 |
| 1994-12-30 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 87 - 67 |
| 1995-01-05 | @ | McNeese | W | 92 - 81 |
| 1995-01-07 | @ | Nicholls State | L | 86 - 100 |
| 1995-01-09 | vs | North Texas | L | 69 - 73 |
| 1995-01-12 | vs | Sam Houston | L | 75 - 80 |
| 1995-01-14 | vs | Stephen F. Austin | W | 96 - 83 |
| 1995-01-17 | @ | Colorado | L | 60 - 97 |
| 1995-01-21 | vs | Texas State | W | 69 - 59 |
| 1995-01-23 | @ | Oral Roberts | L | 75 - 77 |
| 1995-01-26 | @ | Northwestern State | L | 65 - 74 |
| 1995-01-28 | @ | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 65 - 83 |
| 1995-02-02 | vs | Nicholls State | L | 73 - 91 |
| 1995-02-04 | vs | McNeese | W | 96 - 80 |
| 1995-02-06 | vs | Oral Roberts | L | 62 - 75 |
| 1995-02-09 | @ | Stephen F. Austin | W | 88 - 84 |
| 1995-02-11 | @ | Sam Houston | W | 75 - 61 |
| 1995-02-18 | @ | Texas State | W | 86 - 82 |
| 1995-02-23 | vs | Louisiana–Monroe | W | 66 - 54 |
| 1995-02-25 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 91 - 81 |
| 1995-03-02 | @ | UT Arlington | L | 58 - 80 |
| 1995-03-04 | @ | North Texas | W | 87 - 80 |
| 1995-03-08 | vs | Northwestern State | W | 89 - 79 |
| 1995-03-09 | N | Louisiana–Monroe | L | 76 - 78 |
1995 Roster
No roster data available for this season.