UTSA Roadrunners
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1102 (#90) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1121 (#75) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1110 (#42) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.9 (#120) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.0 (#142) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.789 (#26) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.559 (#130) | AdjNet +2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.555 (#131) | AdjNet +1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.571 (#113) | AdjO 85.8 | AdjD 82.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.592 (#86) | AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 80.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.596 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.600 (#99) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1107 (#77) | RD 140 | GP 28 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-24 | vs | Texas State | W | 132 - 97 |
| 1990-11-26 | @ | Texas–Rio Grande Valley | W | 96 - 78 |
| 1990-11-28 | vs | Colorado | L | 89 - 100 |
| 1990-11-30 | N | Creighton | L | 47 - 93 |
| 1990-12-01 | N | Colgate | W | 99 - 59 |
| 1990-12-06 | @ | UT Arlington | W | 105 - 90 |
| 1990-12-12 | vs | UT Arlington | W | 103 - 83 |
| 1990-12-17 | vs | Nicholls State | W | 108 - 89 |
| 1990-12-19 | vs | Texas–Rio Grande Valley | W | 101 - 78 |
| 1990-12-22 | @ | Kansas | L | 69 - 101 |
| 1991-01-05 | @ | Texas State | W | 77 - 61 |
| 1991-01-09 | @ | Southern Methodist | L | 86 - 88 |
| 1991-01-12 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 118 - 97 |
| 1991-01-17 | vs | Little Rock | W | 90 - 84 |
| 1991-01-19 | vs | Samford | W | 106 - 63 |
| 1991-01-24 | @ | Georgia Southern | L | 87 - 94 |
| 1991-01-26 | @ | Stetson | W | 103 - 87 |
| 1991-01-31 | vs | Georgia State | W | 85 - 72 |
| 1991-02-02 | vs | Mercer | W | 87 - 68 |
| 1991-02-09 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 105 - 116 |
| 1991-02-14 | @ | Little Rock | W | 83 - 74 |
| 1991-02-16 | @ | Samford | W | 99 - 85 |
| 1991-02-21 | vs | Georgia Southern | W | 87 - 79 |
| 1991-02-23 | vs | Stetson | W | 87 - 80 |
| 1991-02-28 | @ | Georgia State | W | 85 - 78 |
| 1991-03-02 | @ | Mercer | W | 91 - 63 |
| 1991-03-05 | N | Mercer | W | 77 - 55 |
| 1991-03-06 | N | Georgia State | L | 84 - 94 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.