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USC

Also known as: USC Trojans, USC
Program History

2019 Team Stats (23 games)

77.0
PPG
69.8
Opp
+7.1
Margin
47.3%
FG%
40.2%
3P%
63.3%
FT%
36.4
RPG
17.6
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.9
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#77
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1023 (#153) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 971 (#211) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +7.3 (#77) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +7.5 (#72) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.623 (#98) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.2 More โ†’ 0.784 (#73) AdjNet +11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.3 More โ†’ 0.788 (#73) AdjNet +11.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.3 More โ†’ 0.646 (#77) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.589 (#78) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.624 (#100) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.613 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1022 (#157) RD 130 | GP 33

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 83 - 62
2018-11-11 vs Vanderbilt Commodores L 78 - 82
2018-11-14 vs Stetson Hatters W 95 - 59
2018-11-19 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 63 - 78
2018-11-20 @ Missouri State Bears W 99 - 80
2018-11-25 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 90 - 75
2018-11-28 vs Long Beach State Beach W 75 - 65
2018-12-01 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 73
2018-12-07 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 61 - 96
2018-12-15 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 70 - 81
2018-12-18 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 92 - 102
2018-12-21 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 91 - 49
2018-12-30 vs UC Davis Aggies W 73 - 55
2019-01-03 vs California Golden Bears W 82 - 73
2019-01-06 vs Stanford Cardinal W 77 - 66
2019-01-10 @ Oregon State Beavers L 74 - 79
2019-01-13 @ Oregon Ducks L 60 - 81
2019-01-19 vs UCLA Bruins W 80 - 67
2019-01-24 vs Arizona Wildcats W 80 - 57
2019-01-26 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 69 - 67
2019-01-30 @ Washington Huskies L 62 - 75
2019-02-02 @ Washington State Cougars W 93 - 84
2019-02-06 vs Utah Utes L 70 - 77
2019-02-09 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 65 - 69
2019-02-13 @ Stanford Cardinal L 76 - 79
2019-02-16 @ California Golden Bears W 89 - 66
2019-02-21 vs Oregon Ducks W 66 - 49
2019-02-23 vs Oregon State Beavers L 62 - 67
2019-02-28 @ UCLA Bruins L 88 - 93
2019-03-07 @ Utah Utes L 74 - 83
2019-03-09 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 67 - 78
2019-03-13 vs Arizona Wildcats W 78 - 65
2019-03-14 @ Washington Huskies L 75 - 78

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bennie Boatwright Bennie Boatwright F 29 33.8 18.3 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.6 1.5 10.8 16.8 117 27 4.3 5.4 47.4 45.1 67.9 2.39 76.7 59.3
Nick Rakocevic Nick Rakocevic F 30 29.7 14.7 9.1 1.4 0.8 1.4 1.6 8.4 17.4 159 28 5.7 8.0 56.0 0.0 71.7 3.67 74.0 56.0
Jonah Mathews Jonah Mathews G 30 33.2 12.8 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.3 1.4 8.6 9.6 139 28 5.0 6.4 42.0 39.2 71.4 2.07 71.5 53.7
Kevin Porter Kevin Porter - 16 22.3 9.9 3.9 1.5 0.8 0.6 1.8 7.8 7.1 55 18 3.1 6.0 47.2 38.9 54.1 -0.64 56.3 55.6
Shaqquan Aaron Shaqquan Aaron G 30 27.4 8.3 4.3 2.4 0.7 0.3 1.5 5.5 9.1 66 28 2.4 3.5 45.7 42.9 61.0 -1.16 68.4 54.0
Jordan Usher Jordan Usher G 11 24.3 8.3 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.2 1.8 4.2 8.0 37 10 3.7 6.7 50.0 26.7 52.9 0.41 85.1 54.3
Derryck Thornton Derryck Thornton G 29 27.9 7.4 2.7 4.7 1.3 0.1 2.1 5.6 8.4 128 27 4.7 7.2 40.5 35.1 71.4 0.99 60.0 44.5
Elijah Weaver Elijah Weaver G 26 20.4 5.3 1.8 2.4 0.7 0.2 1.8 3.1 5.3 -38 25 -1.5 -3.1 46.9 40.9 72.7 -4.66 80.4 58.0
J'R. Brooks J'R. Brooks F 19 9.1 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.2 2.1 -10 24 -0.4 -2.1 51.2 30.8 44.4 -0.05 55.6 56.1
Devin Fleming Devin Fleming G 8 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 -14 8 -1.8 -31.3 66.7 0 50.0 -1.99 62.1 66.7
Victor Uyaelunmo Victor Uyaelunmo C 25 6.7 0.8 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 2.1 -10 25 -0.4 -2.5 41.7 0 26.9 -1.81 44.8 41.7
McKay Anderson McKay Anderson G 5 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 - - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Chuck O'Bannon Chuck O'Bannon F 1 10.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG