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UMass

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: UMass Minutemen, UMass
Program History
Coach: Derek Kellogg

2016 Team Stats (12 games)

71.6
PPG
78.1
Opp
-6.5
Margin
43.5%
FG%
28.1%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
34.4
RPG
13.5
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.2
Adj PPG
73.0
Adj Opp PPG
#159
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 998 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1001 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 976 (#204) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +0.5 (#156) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.1 (#147) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.412 (#212) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.539 (#147) AdjNet +1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.540 (#147) AdjNet +1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.505 (#159) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 73.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.481 (#183) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.500 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.495 (#169) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 32 More → 1005 (#168) RD 127 | GP 32

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 vs Howard Bison W 85 - 79
2015-11-17 @ Harvard Crimson W 69 - 63
2015-11-19 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 89 - 62
2015-11-23 @ Clemson Tigers W 82 - 65
2015-11-25 @ Creighton Bluejays L 76 - 97
2015-12-02 vs Boston University Terriers W 99 - 69
2015-12-05 vs Ole Miss Rebels L 64 - 74
2015-12-08 @ UCF Knights L 63 - 67
2015-12-13 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 76 - 77
2015-12-16 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 103 - 95
2015-12-21 vs Providence Friars L 66 - 90
2015-12-29 vs Long Island University Sharks W 83 - 79
2016-01-03 @ La Salle Explorers W 74 - 67
2016-01-06 @ Dayton Flyers L 63 - 93
2016-01-09 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 77 - 88
2016-01-12 vs George Washington Revolutionaries L 70 - 81
2016-01-16 @ Davidson Wildcats L 74 - 86
2016-01-23 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 75 - 86
2016-01-27 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 70 - 78
2016-01-30 vs Fordham Rams L 72 - 78
2016-02-02 vs Rhode Island Rams W 61 - 56
2016-02-06 @ Richmond Spiders L 53 - 69
2016-02-11 vs VCU Rams W 69 - 63
2016-02-14 @ Duquesne Dukes W 108 - 99
2016-02-17 @ Fordham Rams L 66 - 76
2016-02-21 vs George Mason Patriots W 70 - 64
2016-02-24 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 57 - 74
2016-02-27 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 83 - 85
2016-03-03 @ Rhode Island Rams L 50 - 68
2016-03-05 vs La Salle Explorers W 69 - 52
2016-03-10 @ Rhode Island Rams W 67 - 62
2016-03-11 @ VCU Rams L 70 - 85

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Davis Trey Davis G 32 34.0 18.7 4.6 3.2 1.2 0.1 2.8 6.2 18.8 -48 28 -1.7 -2.2 38.5 30.1 91.0 1.68 127.8 44.8
Donte Clark Donte Clark G 32 31.1 16.2 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 2.2 5.4 15.8 -109 28 -3.9 -5.2 42.2 33.7 75.0 -2.3 117.2 50.3
Jabarie Hinds Jabarie Hinds F 32 29.6 14.4 2.3 3.0 1.5 0.2 1.7 5.2 14.5 -39 28 -1.4 -2.1 42.9 23.8 73.7 0.44 125.1 45.8
Antwan Space Antwan Space F 22 24.4 6.3 5.3 1.7 0.7 0.8 1.9 3.7 9.3 -68 18 -3.8 -6.3 38.3 21.7 55.0 -1.36 77.4 41.4
Seth Berger Seth Berger F 31 19.5 5.2 3.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.7 2.1 7.1 -26 27 -1.0 -2.1 45.3 30.8 60.9 -0.62 109.3 51.6
Rashaan Holloway Rashaan Holloway C 30 11.7 5.2 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.1 6.0 -3 26 -0.1 -0.4 58.7 0 35.7 -0.13 102.9 58.7
Zach Coleman Zach Coleman F 27 17.8 4.0 4.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.8 1.6 8.1 -32 23 -1.4 -3.3 31.8 13.0 56.5 -1.59 98.9 35.2
C.J. Anderson C.J. Anderson G 32 24.2 3.5 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.1 1.2 1.4 8.0 -56 28 -2.0 -3.5 33.3 26.7 75.0 -2.09 115.4 37.8
Tyler Bergantino Tyler Bergantino F 29 18.7 2.7 3.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.9 6.4 -28 25 -1.1 -2.7 61.5 0 37.5 -0.05 130.4 61.5
Malik Hines Malik Hines C 16 9.9 1.1 2.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 3.1 -10 16 -0.6 -3.0 66.7 0 0.0 -2.47 123.5 66.7
Zach Turcotte Zach Turcotte F 7 1.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.0 -8 6 -1.3 -24.2 0 0 0 -2.39 0 0
Rayshawn Miller Rayshawn Miller G 7 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 7 5 1.4 40.9 50.0 0.0 0 0.74 50.0 50.0
Chris Lydon Chris Lydon G 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG