Model Predictions
| Model | Massachusetts Minutemen | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hinds * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| T. Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| D. Clark * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Z. Coleman * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Holloway * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Bergantino | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| C.J. Anderson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| S. Berger | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Hines | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Shaheed Davis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Chance McSpadden * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Justin McBride | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter