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UC Irvine

Also known as: UC Irvine Anteaters
Program History

Model Outputs

2001-2002
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1074 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1116 (#79) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More โ†’ 1044 (#103) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +4.0 More โ†’ +5.3 (#92) HCA +4.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ +1.5 (#139) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.667 (#79) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.9 More โ†’ 0.663 (#104) AdjNet +5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.9 More โ†’ 0.665 (#104) AdjNet +5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.2 More โ†’ 0.594 (#98) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 66.7 More โ†’ 0.533 (#120) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.602 (#97) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.590 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1066 (#101) RD 114 | GP 31

2002 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2001-11-16 vs Saint Mary's W 71 - 64
2001-11-20 vs Pepperdine W 96 - 93
2001-11-23 N Illinois State L 52 - 58
2001-11-24 N Oakland W 68 - 61
2001-11-25 N Kent State L 64 - 75
2001-11-28 @ Loyola Marymount W 71 - 59
2001-12-11 @ San Diego L 52 - 63
2001-12-15 @ UCLA L 74 - 75
2001-12-22 vs Long Beach State W 75 - 69
2001-12-28 N Lipscomb W 79 - 62
2001-12-29 N Boston University W 77 - 71
2002-01-03 vs Cal State Fullerton W 68 - 58
2002-01-05 vs UC Riverside W 72 - 53
2002-01-10 @ Utah State W 67 - 66
2002-01-12 @ Idaho W 92 - 54
2002-01-17 vs Pacific W 62 - 58
2002-01-19 vs Cal State Northridge L 72 - 73
2002-01-24 @ UC Santa Barbara W 81 - 70
2002-01-26 @ Cal Poly L 47 - 50
2002-01-31 @ UC Riverside W 72 - 64
2002-02-02 @ Cal State Fullerton W 72 - 46
2002-02-07 vs Idaho W 52 - 38
2002-02-09 vs Utah State L 61 - 62
2002-02-14 @ Cal State Northridge W 82 - 80
2002-02-16 @ Pacific L 61 - 73
2002-02-21 vs Cal Poly W 77 - 63
2002-02-23 vs UC Santa Barbara W 71 - 67
2002-02-28 @ Long Beach State L 70 - 86
2002-03-07 N Long Beach State W 72 - 65
2002-03-08 N UC Santa Barbara L 61 - 66
2002-03-14 @ Brigham Young L 55 - 78

2002 Roster

No roster data available for this season.