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Troy

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Also known as: Troy Trojans
Program History
Coach: Don Maestri

2007 Team Stats (1 games)

90.0
PPG
102.0
Opp
-12.0
Margin
47.8%
FG%
41.7%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
27.0
RPG
18.0
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.4
Adj PPG
75.2
Adj Opp PPG
#239
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 925 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 932 (#209) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More → 976 (#191) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More → -6.2 (#238) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → -6.2 (#242) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.382 (#210) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More → 0.256 (#236) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.4 More → 0.252 (#236) AdjNet -9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 75.2 More → 0.373 (#239) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 75.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 73.7 More → 0.415 (#235) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 73.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.361 (#223) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.370 (#227) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 29 More → 928 (#203) RD 158 | GP 29

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-10 @ Auburn Tigers L 68 - 71
2006-11-12 vs Loyola New Orleans Wolfpack W 87 - 52
2006-11-16 vs Rhode Island Rams W 84 - 78
2006-11-18 @ Weber State Wildcats L 61 - 66
2006-11-19 vs Drake Bulldogs W 80 - 75
2006-11-25 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 86 - 84
2006-11-27 @ Alabama State Hornets L 56 - 63
2006-12-02 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 69 - 72
2006-12-08 @ Drake Bulldogs L 90 - 102
2006-12-09 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 84 - 81
2006-12-13 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 87 - 91
2006-12-17 vs Florida International Panthers L 64 - 67
2006-12-28 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 55 - 85
2006-12-31 vs Little Rock Trojans W 82 - 70
2007-01-03 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 78 - 82
2007-01-06 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 71 - 57
2007-01-11 vs South Alabama Jaguars L 64 - 75
2007-01-13 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 87 - 79
2007-01-17 vs New Orleans Privateers L 85 - 86
2007-01-20 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 62 - 69
2007-01-25 vs Denver Pioneers W 66 - 63
2007-01-27 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 78 - 91
2007-02-01 @ North Texas Mean Green L 57 - 98
2007-02-03 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 92 - 87
2007-02-08 @ Florida International Panthers W 56 - 51
2007-02-10 @ Little Rock Trojans L 71 - 79
2007-02-17 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 74 - 75
2007-02-22 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 73 - 70
2007-02-24 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 92 - 88
2007-02-28 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 64 - 72

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.