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2007-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% +0.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 โœ— (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—

Actual: Troy Trojans -8 (64-72). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nigel Johnson 40 3-9 0-3 6-6 7 2 3 1 2 12 14 -
K. Kanaskie 40 4-13 2-10 3-4 8 4 1 0 1 13 12 -
C. O'Neil 35 6-11 1-2 8-8 3 2 1 1 2 21 15 -
T. Blue 28 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 3 7 10 -
K. Young 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
D. Yates 14 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
T. Hudson 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Hair 10 2-3 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 1 2 8 8 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Chaney 34 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 2 1 2 2 4 -
B. Ramsey 33 4-11 3-8 2-2 3 2 4 0 1 13 10 -
S. Sharp 30 1-4 0-0 3-5 7 2 2 2 1 5 13 -
Cedric Jackson 28 7-13 2-7 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 16 6 -
O. Bassett 23 2-10 2-6 8-12 2 1 1 0 1 14 7 -
J. Odem 22 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 6 1 -
J. Jonus 19 2-8 1-5 3-3 2 0 0 1 2 8 1 -
R. Jennings 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 5 -
Josh Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter