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Toledo Rockets

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Toledo Rockets
Program History
Coach: Tod Kowalczyk

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1302 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1355 (#111) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1065 (#86) HCA +147 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 999 (#202) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +26.3 (#126) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +6.9 (#194) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -7.8 (#435) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.521 (#188) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 67.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.480 (#299) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.665 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.298 (#442) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.641 (#177) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.336 (#424) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 28 More → 1076 (#145) RD 149 | GP 28
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 942 (#274) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 50 - 62
2012-11-12 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 56 - 82
2012-11-14 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 81 - 84
2012-11-21 @ Samford Bulldogs W 82 - 69
2012-11-22 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 66 - 72
2012-11-28 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 80 - 68
2012-12-01 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 73 - 78
2012-12-05 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 73 - 79
2012-12-08 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 67 - 59
2012-12-29 vs UIC Flames W 74 - 55
2012-12-31 vs Chicago State Cougars L 53 - 58
2013-01-09 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 70 - 58
2013-01-12 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 76 - 72
2013-01-16 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 56 - 79
2013-01-19 @ Ohio Bobcats L 67 - 76
2013-01-23 vs Akron Zips L 56 - 71
2013-01-26 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 75 - 62
2013-01-30 @ Ball State Cardinals W 85 - 78
2013-02-02 @ Northern Illinois Huskies W 69 - 64
2013-02-06 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 65 - 64
2013-02-09 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 60 - 52
2013-02-13 @ Buffalo Bulls L 60 - 75
2013-02-16 @ Central Michigan Chippewas W 73 - 64
2013-02-23 vs McNeese Cowboys W 79 - 66
2013-02-27 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 62 - 65
2013-03-02 vs Ball State Cardinals L 72 - 86
2013-03-05 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 70 - 46
2013-03-09 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 78 - 67

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Pearson R. Pearson G 28 33.2 17.9 6.8 1.7 1.7 0.1 2.9 3.3 22.1 43 1.5 1.9 45.7 40.0 69.5 0.39 212.8 46.7
J. Brown J. Brown G 28 33.6 13.1 3.1 6.0 1.1 0.1 3.2 2.7 17.5 141 5.6 7.6 32.9 19.2 66.7 1.27 215.3 36.2
M. Smith M. Smith F 28 26.2 9.8 3.6 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.8 12.3 58 1.8 2.6 62.0 54.2 88.2 0.17 239.2 75.0
D. Buckley D. Buckley G 28 32.2 9.7 2.7 1.9 1.4 0.2 1.3 1.9 12.7 77 2.8 3.8 36.5 37.5 69.2 1.23 234.8 51.0
N. Boothe N. Boothe C 28 24.6 8.3 5.2 0.7 0.6 1.5 1.2 2.1 12.9 34 1.2 2.2 46.7 0.0 66.7 0.61 185.2 46.7
R. Holliday R. Holliday F 28 22.9 7.8 4.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.3 11.5 -59 -2.1 -3.3 43.2 46.7 86.7 -0.71 248.9 52.7
B. Schwiebert B. Schwiebert - 5 7.2 2.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.16 68.3 33.3
R. Wonnell R. Wonnell C 28 12.4 1.0 2.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 3.5 -33 -1.2 -3.4 66.7 0 50.0 -0.09 196.2 66.7
J. Lemons J. Lemons - 27 14.1 1.0 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 2.9 -15 -0.6 -1.3 11.1 25.0 0.0 -0.26 141.7 16.7
A. Mathew A. Mathew G 8 4.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 -19 -2.4 -13.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.24 200.0 0.0
J. Ewing J. Ewing - 8 3.9 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -7 -0.9 -6.3 0 0 0 -0.15 0 0
D. Dear D. Dear F 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG