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Texas Tech

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Texas Tech Red Raiders, Texas Tech
Program History
Coach: Chris Beard

2018 Team Stats (28 games)

73.0
PPG
65.6
Opp
+7.4
Margin
45.4%
FG%
36.0%
3P%
68.7%
FT%
35.6
RPG
14.0
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.7
Adj PPG
58.7
Adj Opp PPG
#10
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1443 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1290 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1111 (#40) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +18.1 (#10) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +16.0 (#17) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.834 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.2 More → 0.954 (#9) AdjNet +26.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.5 More → 0.955 (#9) AdjNet +26.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.823 (#10) AdjO 75.7 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.718 (#18) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.870 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.856 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 37 More → 1335 (#9) RD 88 | GP 37

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 75 - 50
2017-11-14 vs Maine Black Bears W 83 - 44
2017-11-18 @ Boston College Eagles W 75 - 64
2017-11-19 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 85 - 49
2017-11-22 vs Wofford Terriers W 79 - 56
2017-11-25 vs Savannah State Tigers W 103 - 69
2017-11-30 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 79 - 89
2017-12-05 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 82 - 76
2017-12-13 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 82 - 53
2017-12-16 vs Rice Owls W 73 - 53
2017-12-19 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 90 - 54
2017-12-22 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 74 - 47
2017-12-29 vs Baylor Bears W 77 - 53
2018-01-02 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 85 - 73
2018-01-06 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 74 - 58
2018-01-09 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 65 - 75
2018-01-13 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 72 - 71
2018-01-17 @ Texas Longhorns L 58 - 67
2018-01-20 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 52 - 70
2018-01-23 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 75 - 70
2018-01-27 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 70 - 63
2018-01-31 vs Texas Longhorns W 73 - 71
2018-02-03 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 83 - 71
2018-02-07 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 76 - 58
2018-02-10 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 66 - 47
2018-02-13 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 88 - 78
2018-02-17 @ Baylor Bears L 57 - 59
2018-02-21 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 71 - 79
2018-02-24 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 72 - 74
2018-02-26 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 74 - 84
2018-03-03 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 79 - 75
2018-03-08 vs Texas Longhorns W 73 - 69
2018-03-09 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 63 - 66
2018-03-15 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 70 - 60
2018-03-17 vs Florida Gators W 69 - 66
2018-03-23 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 78 - 65
2018-03-25 @ Villanova Wildcats L 59 - 71

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keenan Evans Keenan Evans G 35 29.5 17.5 3.1 3.1 1.1 0.3 1.9 8.8 14.4 230 25 9.2 13.1 45.5 30.7 79.7 5.89 77.5 51.1
Zhaire Smith Zhaire Smith - 36 28.3 11.3 5.1 1.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 6.2 13.1 175 26 6.7 10.3 54.5 45.7 70.8 2.68 75.0 58.0
Jarrett Culver Jarrett Culver - 36 26.4 11.1 4.8 1.8 1.1 0.8 1.5 6.8 11.3 139 26 5.3 9.1 44.5 37.3 67.4 2.0 69.7 52.2
Niem Stevenson Niem Stevenson G 36 20.4 7.4 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.2 1.0 4.9 6.8 115 26 4.4 9.1 38.2 40.3 66.2 0.7 64.0 45.8
Z. Smith Z. Smith F 22 20.4 6.0 3.9 1.1 0.7 0.9 1.5 3.1 8.0 173 15 11.5 23.1 60.3 25.0 32.1 5.75 81.5 61.0
T. Hamilton IV T. Hamilton IV F 36 14.1 5.6 2.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.3 3.7 4.8 89 26 3.4 9.7 40.9 41.0 47.8 -1.29 70.4 50.4
Brandone Francis Brandone Francis G 36 15.4 5.2 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.6 3.4 4.4 110 26 4.2 12.2 42.6 35.9 42.1 2.71 72.1 52.0
Justin Gray Justin Gray G 35 21.6 5.1 3.9 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.8 3.2 7.6 69 25 2.8 5.7 48.7 33.3 81.6 -2.56 69.4 51.3
Norense Odiase Norense Odiase C 36 14.8 3.8 4.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.8 6.7 69 26 2.7 7.8 48.5 0 56.1 -1.41 80.9 48.5
Davide Moretti Davide Moretti G 36 12.5 3.6 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.3 2.9 60 26 2.3 8.4 35.7 30.9 85.7 -0.35 71.0 45.8
Malik Ondigo Malik Ondigo F 14 5.4 1.1 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.7 -1 9 -0.1 -0.9 55.6 0 50.0 -1.68 75.9 55.6
Parker Hicks Parker Hicks G 9 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0 7 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 0 -2.07 175.0 125.0
Andrew Sorrells Andrew Sorrells G 11 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 5 8 0.6 9.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.64 83.3 0.0
Josh Webster Josh Webster G 25 5.8 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.2 -3 18 -0.2 -1.1 8.3 0.0 0.0 -2.49 29.1 8.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG