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2018-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% -5.4 โœ— (7.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% - โœ—
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 โœ— (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 73.2% 26.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% - โœ—

Actual: Baylor Bears +2 (59-57). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Smith * 35 7-9 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 1 5 15 8 -
Jarrett Culver * 33 3-16 1-5 2-2 6 3 0 2 5 9 -1 -
Justin Gray * 28 4-5 1-1 4-4 8 0 3 1 0 13 20 -
Norense Odiase * 20 1-2 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 2 2 5 11 -
Keenan Evans * 18 1-6 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 1 1 4 3 -
Niem Stevenson 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -
Brandone Francis 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Hamilton IV 14 2-5 0-1 2-4 3 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
Josh Webster 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
Davide Moretti 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lual-Acuil Jr. * 34 2-6 0-0 3-4 8 3 1 3 3 7 13 -
Manu Lecomte * 34 3-14 3-8 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 10 -3 -
Mark Vital * 30 3-5 0-0 2-3 8 2 1 2 2 8 14 -
Jake Lindsey * 22 0-3 0-1 0-2 3 4 1 0 0 0 5 -
Tristan Clark * 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 1 1 1 3 -
T.J. Maston 30 10-19 0-0 4-7 5 1 1 0 1 24 11 -
King McClure 22 0-5 0-3 7-8 1 0 2 0 2 7 3 -
Nuni Omot 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter