🐻⬇️🏀

Texas State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Texas State Bobcats, Texas State
Program History
Coach: Terrence Johnson

2025 Team Stats (9 games)

76.8
PPG
71.5
Opp
+4.3
Margin
47.9%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
74.8%
FT%
37.7
RPG
14.9
APG
12.7
TO
79.5
Pace
73.9
AdjO
76.4
AdjD
#195
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 866 (#278) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 961 (#209) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.7 (#200) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.506 (#172) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.506 (#174) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.4 More → 0.405 (#196) AdjNet -3.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.4 More → 0.403 (#196) AdjNet -3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.442 (#195) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 76.4

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs McMurry War Hawks W 102 - 62
2024-11-12 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 71 - 76
2024-11-16 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 60 - 72
2024-11-21 vs Bradley Braves L 68 - 82
2024-11-22 @ Princeton Tigers W 83 - 80
2024-11-24 vs Ohio Bobcats W 74 - 65
2024-12-01 @ Texas Southern Tigers W 72 - 59
2024-12-04 vs Arlington Baptist Patriots W 97 - 49
2024-12-08 vs Rice Owls W 75 - 66
2024-12-14 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 80 - 89
2024-12-29 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 72 - 80
2025-01-02 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 71 - 77
2025-01-04 @ App State Mountaineers L 61 - 72

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tyrel Morgan Tyrel Morgan - 11 31.5 15.3 7.0 2.6 2.0 0.9 2.0 11.5 14.3 68 3.2 4.1 52.0 33.3 63.6 1.37 57.4 55.1
T. Pope T. Pope - 13 22.1 12.8 5.5 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 8.6 9.6 91 2.8 5.1 51.8 18.8 79.7 1.45 60.2 53.1
K. Gumbs K. Gumbs - 13 32.5 11.6 3.6 4.2 1.5 0.1 2.1 10.2 8.8 25 0.9 1.6 40.9 25.0 84.8 0.97 49.6 42.4
J. O'Garro J. O'Garro G 13 29.4 10.5 6.5 1.5 1.2 0.6 1.3 7.6 11.4 29 1.0 1.7 46.5 30.0 92.1 0.78 58.8 51.0
C. Benson C. Benson - 6 18.2 10.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.8 3.5 44 2.9 9.2 38.3 38.9 100.0 0.32 59.3 53.2
Dylan Dawson Dylan Dawson - 5 24.6 9.0 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.0 1.4 8.8 3.6 52 2.9 9.6 34.1 35.7 62.5 0.07 47.3 45.5
Drue Drinnon Drue Drinnon - 13 25.7 8.4 1.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.3 5.5 6.2 5 0.3 0.5 45.1 54.1 73.5 0.08 63.4 59.2
Christian Turner Christian Turner - 10 29.4 7.7 4.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 1.7 5.7 8.3 - - - 57.9 40.0 60.0 - 60.5 59.6
A. Green A. Green - 12 10.6 2.8 1.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 3.1 -1 -0.1 -0.3 55.6 0 65.0 -0.17 61.6 55.6
J. Jones J. Jones - 4 8.0 2.8 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.2 1.8 -184 -7.1 -17.6 44.4 0.0 100.0 -0.07 53.3 44.4
N. Deer N. Deer - 8 5.4 1.6 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.5 21 1.4 9.2 62.5 0 60.0 -0.14 63.7 62.5
B. Saragba B. Saragba - 11 9.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.9 -25 -2.1 -12.9 46.2 0 37.5 -0.32 45.4 46.2
D. Sykes D. Sykes G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -2 -0.1 -0.3 - - - 0.39 - -
J. Mason J. Mason G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -79 -3.3 -4.4 - - - -0.47 - -
F. Emmou F. Emmou G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
D. Horne D. Horne G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -77 -3.9 -15.6 - - - -0.16 - -
R. Bolton Jr. R. Bolton Jr. C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -71 -3.7 -12.1 - - - 0.04 - -
M. Drone M. Drone G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 44 4.9 10.2 - - - 0.3 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG