Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Morgan * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | +11.2 |
| K. Gumbs * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | +11.6 |
| C. Turner * | 32 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. O'Garro * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 6 | +9.4 |
| T. Pope * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +5.3 |
| D. Drinnon | 23 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +4.5 |
| A. Green | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +9.7 |
| B. Saragba | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Carter * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -12.4 |
| K. McClain * | 31 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | -9.5 |
| K. Hunter * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -18.5 |
| A. Anderson * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Z. Hayes * | 23 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -11.4 |
| K. Granger | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -6.1 |
| O. Koureissi | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +10.3 |
| J. Wysinger | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +3.6 |
| Z. Mortle | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2.3 |
| D. Posey | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.6 |
* = starter