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Texas State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Texas State Bobcats, Texas State
Program History
Coach: Terrence Johnson

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

101.0
PPG
60.5
Opp
+40.5
Margin
56.0%
FG%
39.5%
3P%
70.1%
FT%
44.0
RPG
18.5
APG
13.0
TO
75.7
Est. poss./game
61.8
Adj PPG
63.0
Adj Opp PPG
#179
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1172 (returning production + recruiting): last season 972, returning +119, transfers +100, freshmen -20 More → 1177 (#80) Preseason prior 1172 (returning production + recruiting): last season 972, returning +119, transfers +100, freshmen -20
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1127 (#77) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More → 1024 (#101) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More → +5.8 (#95) HCA +14.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More → -2.0 (#145) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.906 (#90) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.1 More → 0.906 (#89) NetEff +19.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.680 (#91) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.5 More → 0.681 (#91) AdjNet +6.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 63.0 More → 0.472 (#179) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 63.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 62.7 More → 0.467 (#145) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 62.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.546 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.546 (#91) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 1096 (#110) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 67 - 55
2026-11-05 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets W 135 - 66
2026-11-10 @ UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dj Hall Dj Hall F 2 22.5 15.5 6.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 11.5 13.0 - - - - 52.2 42.9 66.7 - 60.5 58.7
Paul Djobet Paul Djobet G 2 24.5 14.5 5.0 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 8.5 15.5 - - - - 58.8 33.3 85.7 - 72.2 67.6
Robert Fields Robert Fields C 2 20.5 13.5 4.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 6.0 13.0 - - - - 83.3 0 58.3 - 78.1 83.3
King Sanders King Sanders F 1 11.0 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 - - - - 60.0 0.0 66.7 - 65.4 60.0
Kj Younger Kj Younger G 2 13.5 10.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 6.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 66.7 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Ronald Jessamy Ronald Jessamy F 2 8.5 9.5 4.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 4.0 10.5 - - - - 87.5 0 71.4 - 85.7 87.5
Caleb Steger Caleb Steger G 2 9.5 8.0 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.5 7.5 - - - - 71.4 60.0 100.0 - 96.2 92.9
Quel'Ron House Quel'Ron House G 2 16.0 7.5 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 2.0 5.0 5.5 - - - - 50.0 0.0 71.4 - 57.3 50.0
Ky Pernell Ky Pernell G 2 9.5 5.0 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.5 - - - - 75.0 100.0 100.0 - 102.5 100.0
Dimp Pernell Dimp Pernell G 2 20.5 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 -1.0 - - - - 36.4 0.0 0 - 36.4 36.4
Kaden Gumbs Kaden Gumbs G 2 20.5 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 10.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 60.0 - 42.7 33.3
Randy Livingston Jr. Randy Livingston Jr. G 1 14.0 3.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 43.6 33.3
Kole Grandison Kole Grandison F 2 11.0 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.0 - - - - 40.0 0.0 33.3 - 39.6 40.0
David Abisogun David Abisogun F 2 11.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 4.5 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Mark Drone Mark Drone G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

125 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Fields22% Pernell25% Hall67% Younger50% Pernell100% Djobet100% Djobet50% Steger40% Younger80%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hall25% House27% Hall50% Pernell100% Gumbs50% Djobet50% Younger50% Steger50% Pernell25% Hall22%
Misses: who misses most here

Dj HallPaul DjobetRobert FieldsKj YoungerCaleb StegerQuel'Ron HouseDimp PernellKaden Gumbs

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 41-57 71.9 82 Robert Fields 22% (18 pts) Paul Djobet 17% (14 pts) Dj Hall 25% (4 misses) Kj Younger 19% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 8-19 42.1 16 Dimp Pernell 25% (4 pts) Dj Hall 25% (4 pts) Quel'Ron House 27% (3 misses) Dj Hall 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 3-5 60.0 6 Dj Hall 67% (4 pts) Ky Pernell 33% (2 pts) Dj Hall 50% (1 misses) Randy Livingston Jr. 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Kj Younger 50% (2 pts) Quel'Ron House 50% (2 pts) Dimp Pernell 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 1-3 33.3 2 Dimp Pernell 100% (2 pts) - Kaden Gumbs 50% (1 misses) Ky Pernell 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-5 20.0 3 Paul Djobet 100% (3 pts) - Paul Djobet 50% (2 misses) Dimp Pernell 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 4-6 66.7 12 Paul Djobet 50% (6 pts) Caleb Steger 25% (3 pts) Kj Younger 50% (1 misses) Paul Djobet 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 5-9 55.6 15 Caleb Steger 40% (6 pts) Ky Pernell 40% (6 pts) Caleb Steger 50% (2 misses) Dj Hall 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-4 0.0 0 - - Dimp Pernell 25% (1 misses) Kaden Gumbs 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-14 35.7 15 Kj Younger 80% (12 pts) Dj Hall 20% (3 pts) Dj Hall 22% (2 misses) Paul Djobet 22% (2 misses)