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Model Predictions

Model Southern Mis... Texas State Bobcats Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
12.2% (#173) 87.8% (#80) Texas S... -13.4 68-82
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
23.1% (#179) 76.9% (#77) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
1.7% (#183) 98.3% (#95) Texas S... -22.2 -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Southern Mis... Texas State Bobcats
Games 1 2
PPG 82.0 101.0
FG% 42.4% 56.0%
3PT% 30.0% 39.5%
FT% 81.0% 70.1%
RPG 57.0 44.0
APG 11.0 18.5
SPG 15.0 11.5
BPG 5.0 3.0
TOPG 18.0 13.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Southern Mis... Texas State Bobcats
Adj. Off Eff - 103.3
Adj. Def Eff - 96.7
Adj. Net Eff - 6.6

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Southern Miss Gol... Top Players

No player data available

Texas State Bobcats Top Players

No player data available