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Tennessee State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Dana Ford

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

52.7
PPG
84.3
Opp
-31.7
Margin
34.3%
FG%
30.7%
3P%
58.3%
FT%
26.7
RPG
8.7
APG
14.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.0
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#219
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 950 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 970 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 990 (#192) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -4.0 (#220) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -3.2 (#219) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.400 (#230) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.1 More → 0.358 (#210) AdjNet -5.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.353 (#210) AdjNet -5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.418 (#219) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.466 (#210) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.425 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.435 (#211) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 158 | GP 28 More → 950 (#209) RD 158 | GP 28

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 56 - 92
2017-11-13 vs Reinhardt Eagles W 92 - 53
2017-11-18 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 65 - 75
2017-11-21 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 60 - 52
2017-11-25 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 77 - 74
2017-11-28 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 67 - 53
2017-12-02 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 86 - 95
2017-12-12 @ Alabama State Hornets W 64 - 45
2017-12-15 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies L 54 - 64
2017-12-18 @ Texas Longhorns L 46 - 47
2017-12-21 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 48 - 97
2017-12-28 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 60 - 63
2017-12-31 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 65 - 77
2018-01-04 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 67 - 60
2018-01-06 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 81 - 87
2018-01-11 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 69 - 65
2018-01-13 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 79 - 82
2018-01-18 vs Austin Peay Governors W 70 - 56
2018-01-20 vs Murray State Racers L 57 - 76
2018-01-25 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 85 - 57
2018-01-27 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 50 - 47
2018-02-01 @ Morehead State Eagles W 61 - 58
2018-02-03 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 73 - 60
2018-02-08 vs Belmont Bruins W 64 - 56
2018-02-10 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 65 - 47
2018-02-15 vs Morehead State Eagles W 83 - 74
2018-02-17 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 59 - 72
2018-02-22 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 64 - 69
2018-02-24 @ Belmont Bruins L 59 - 84
2018-02-28 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 71 - 73

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Delano Spencer Delano Spencer G 24 32.3 14.6 2.9 1.3 1.2 0.1 1.7 3.5 14.9 -48 25 -1.9 -2.5 49.4 51.1 87.5 -0.1 183.7 63.5
Christian Mekowulu Christian Mekowulu F 24 28.3 11.8 8.0 0.8 1.0 1.2 2.5 2.3 18.1 20 25 0.8 1.1 49.1 50.0 80.5 3.6 194.4 50.0
D. Boyd D. Boyd - 1 29.0 10.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 14.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Armani Chaney Armani Chaney G 24 29.4 8.5 3.1 3.7 1.4 0.1 2.8 2.4 11.7 -42 25 -1.7 -2.4 40.4 39.3 69.2 -0.73 163.4 50.0
Ken'Darrius Hamilton Ken'Darrius Hamilton F 23 22.2 8.5 3.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 2.1 2.3 9.8 14 23 0.6 1.1 53.7 36.8 66.7 0.6 176.2 60.2
Kamar McKnight Kamar McKnight G 24 21.2 8.1 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.0 1.4 2.4 9.0 -24 24 -1.0 -1.9 38.6 30.4 50.0 -1.46 154.4 44.7
Darreon Reddick Darreon Reddick G 24 28.7 7.3 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.9 2.3 8.3 -63 25 -2.5 -3.8 35.7 32.1 60.0 -3.27 135.0 43.8
Stokley Chaffee Stokley Chaffee F 22 18.7 3.4 4.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 8.0 -52 24 -2.2 -5.7 75.0 100.0 50.0 -1.97 241.6 79.2
Daniel Cummings Daniel Cummings G 16 8.8 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 2.4 -31 19 -1.6 -9.4 40.0 42.9 0 -1.61 155.0 55.0
Hampus Ahlin Hampus Ahlin F 8 8.5 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 1.5 0.9 -27 7 -3.9 -21.9 25.0 22.2 100.0 -2.14 58.2 33.3
A.C. Reid A.C. Reid G 8 11.5 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 2.5 0.4 -49 7 -7.0 -29.4 15.0 15.0 0 -3.07 30.0 22.5
Jalen Duke Jalen Duke G 13 7.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.5 9 13 0.7 5.3 33.3 0.0 25.0 0.05 109.5 33.3
Tripp Davis Tripp Davis G 13 6.4 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 2.2 -1 12 -0.1 -0.5 25.0 0.0 62.5 -1.16 56.4 25.0
Samson Oyediran Samson Oyediran F 13 6.9 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.2 -46 14 -3.3 -18.2 50.0 0 0.0 -4.91 104.2 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG