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2018-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Margin 43.6% 56.4% +1.4 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Taylor * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 1 16 28 -
C. Porter-Bunton * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 4 9 13 -
D. Gumm * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 11 19 -
A. Ugba * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 2 8 17 -
T. Ivory * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 5 12 -
Z. Glotta 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
E. Stephens 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Harris 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
I. Cucak 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Henderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darreon Reddick * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 5 12 10 -
Armani Chaney * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 10 13 -
Kamar McKnight * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 3 13 18 -
Ken'Darrius Hamilton * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 7 11 -
Christian Mekowulu * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 0 6 16 -
Stokley Chaffee 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 1 9 18 -
Delano Spencer 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 1 11 16 -
Samson Oyediran 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jalen Duke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter