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Tennessee State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Dana Ford

2017 Team Stats (4 games)

69.5
PPG
64.0
Opp
+5.5
Margin
42.9%
FG%
21.7%
3P%
68.9%
FT%
38.8
RPG
9.5
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.5
Adj PPG
67.1
Adj Opp PPG
#161
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 958 (#191) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1018 (#163) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 988 (#185) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +0.2 (#164) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -1.2 (#186) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.558 (#134) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.0 More → 0.499 (#166) AdjNet -0.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.0 More → 0.499 (#166) AdjNet -0.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.509 (#161) AdjO 67.5 | AdjD 67.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.501 (#165) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.488 (#175) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.487 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 28 More → 941 (#209) RD 160 | GP 28

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs UC Davis Aggies W 78 - 64
2016-11-12 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 69 - 65
2016-11-13 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 69 - 61
2016-11-19 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 74 - 63
2016-11-23 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 72 - 58
2016-11-26 vs Reinhardt Eagles W 96 - 64
2016-11-29 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 59 - 83
2016-12-03 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 72 - 71
2016-12-10 @ NC State Wolfpack L 55 - 67
2016-12-14 vs Alabama State Hornets W 68 - 46
2016-12-19 @ Duke Blue Devils L 55 - 65
2016-12-27 vs Covenant Fighting Scots W 81 - 50
2016-12-31 @ Murray State Racers L 83 - 92
2017-01-02 vs Kennesaw State Owls L 73 - 76
2017-01-05 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 65 - 62
2017-01-07 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 76 - 65
2017-01-12 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 63 - 49
2017-01-14 @ Morehead State Eagles L 85 - 87
2017-01-19 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 74 - 80
2017-01-21 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 79 - 86
2017-01-25 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 76 - 56
2017-01-28 vs Belmont Bruins L 76 - 93
2017-02-02 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers L 67 - 77
2017-02-04 @ Austin Peay Governors W 70 - 66
2017-02-09 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 72 - 59
2017-02-11 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 57 - 63
2017-02-16 vs Morehead State Eagles W 64 - 52
2017-02-18 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 68 - 66
2017-02-25 @ Belmont Bruins L 63 - 68
2017-03-01 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 75 - 78

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Wayne Martin Wayne Martin F 16 31.3 13.3 10.1 0.8 0.6 1.1 3.2 3.6 19.1 78 27 2.9 3.9 55.2 0.0 65.8 1.44 142.5 55.2
Tahjere McCall Tahjere McCall G 16 31.2 12.9 4.8 4.8 2.6 0.7 3.8 5.4 16.4 86 24 3.6 4.7 49.4 25.0 63.2 1.55 99.3 50.6
Darreon Reddick Darreon Reddick G 16 28.1 9.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 1.4 2.9 9.2 70 26 2.7 4.0 37.0 30.4 76.5 -0.36 144.0 44.6
Jordan Reed Jordan Reed G 16 27.8 9.5 7.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.9 2.8 14.5 60 27 2.2 3.8 44.4 33.3 71.4 -0.7 132.6 48.9
Ken'Darrius Hamilton Ken'Darrius Hamilton F 15 19.9 6.7 3.3 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.9 6.5 21 25 0.8 1.8 43.2 26.3 0.0 -0.23 112.5 48.9
Delano Spencer Delano Spencer G 16 18.2 6.1 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.8 2.1 5.5 32 26 1.2 2.4 32.4 24.0 77.8 -0.34 127.8 41.2
Christian Mekowulu Christian Mekowulu F 16 16.9 5.0 3.6 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.6 1.1 7.8 59 27 2.2 5.3 52.9 0 76.5 0.59 163.4 52.9
Armani Chaney Armani Chaney G 15 17.1 3.7 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.7 2.0 4.1 25 26 1.0 2.2 30.0 33.3 81.2 -0.57 74.2 36.7
A'Torey Everett A'Torey Everett G 13 8.8 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.6 -14 21 -0.7 -2.9 46.2 0 83.3 -2.86 105.5 46.2
Xavier Williams Xavier Williams F 9 5.3 1.1 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.9 -5 10 -0.5 -4.3 33.3 0.0 0 -2.78 83.3 33.3
Jalen Duke Jalen Duke G 4 4.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.58 100.0 100.0
Thomas Davis Thomas Davis G 3 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.52 0 0
Samson Oyediran Samson Oyediran F 8 5.2 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -25 13 -1.9 -16.3 25.0 0.0 50.0 -5.47 51.2 25.0
Khalill Spencer Khalill Spencer G 4 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -0.38 100.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG