🐻⬇️🏀

Tennessee State Tigers 55
@
NC State Wolfpack 67
2016-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee State Tigers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - ✓
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.6% 46.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 19.4% 80.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darreon Reddick * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 8 9 -
Jordan Reed * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 2 2 13 -
Tahjere McCall * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 4 0 3 10 21 -
Wayne Martin * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 2 2 16 26 -
Ken'Darrius Hamilton * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 9 12 -
Christian Mekowulu 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 4 5 13 -
Delano Spencer 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
A'Torey Everett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Armani Chaney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Smith Jr. * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 4 1 3 19 31 -
T. Henderson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 21 26 -
T. Dorn * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 8 17 -
A. Abu * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
T. Kapita * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
B. Anya 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 7 2 12 32 -
M. Johnson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Rowan 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter