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Tarleton Texans

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2006
Also known as: Tarleton Texans
Program History
Coach: Billy Gillispie

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

74.0
PPG
73.7
Opp
+0.3
Margin
44.8%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
32.4
RPG
10.9
APG
14.6
TO
82.4
Pace
71.1
AdjO
75.5
AdjD
#225
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 859 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 916 (#649) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -3.7 (#218) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +8.1 (#261) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.375 (#248) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.4 More → 0.233 (#266) NetEff -10.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.355 (#225) AdjNet -5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.353 (#224) AdjNet -5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.402 (#225) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 72.5 More → 0.470 (#404) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 72.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.633 (#263) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.584 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 30 More → 953 (#285) RD 137 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ SMU Mustangs L 76 - 96
2025-11-05 @ LSU Tigers L 60 - 96
2025-11-08 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 85 - 77
2025-11-11 vs Merrimack Warriors W 76 - 62
2025-11-14 @ Baylor Bears L 81 - 94
2025-11-17 vs Angelo State Rams W 77 - 54
2025-11-20 @ Rice Owls W 90 - 74
2025-11-28 vs Midwestern State Mustangs W 67 - 57
2025-12-01 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 58 - 76
2025-12-03 vs Howard Payne Yellow Jackets W 119 - 54
2025-12-16 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 88 - 64
2025-12-19 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 78 - 54
2025-12-29 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 69 - 63
2026-01-01 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 85 - 91
2026-01-03 vs California Baptist Lancers W 81 - 76
2026-01-08 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats L 80 - 84
2026-01-15 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 105 - 106
2026-01-21 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 64 - 71
2026-01-24 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats - Preview
2026-01-29 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 55 - 83
2026-01-31 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers L 59 - 65
2026-02-05 @ California Baptist Lancers L 55 - 56
2026-02-07 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 62 - 59
2026-02-14 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 59 - 73
2026-02-16 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 65 - 62
2026-02-19 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 78 - 74
2026-02-21 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers L 72 - 80
2026-02-26 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 72 - 79
2026-02-28 @ California Baptist Lancers L 67 - 82
2026-03-05 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 60 - 65
2026-03-11 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats L 78 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Johnson D. Johnson - 19 26.6 24.7 3.3 1.7 1.2 0.1 2.2 14.4 14.4 -33 -1.4 -4.6 52.0 56.2 84.9 -0.38 66.1 57.0
C. McDowell C. McDowell - 19 23.4 12.6 3.3 1.1 1.5 0.2 2.1 9.3 7.4 -10 -0.5 -11.9 46.3 32.7 87.9 0.08 58.2 51.4
F. Hicks F. Hicks - 25 27.0 8.6 4.8 1.8 1.3 0.6 1.8 6.4 8.9 53 4.4 46.6 36.9 26.9 70.0 0.38 49.7 39.1
C. Mpaka C. Mpaka - 23 17.5 8.0 5.3 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.9 5.8 7.4 16 0.8 2.9 52.6 0 67.7 0.16 56.9 52.6
A. Sigiscar A. Sigiscar - 25 15.7 7.4 3.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 0.8 4.9 6.6 16 0.9 5.0 64.2 0 56.0 -0.34 64.1 64.2
Aj Dent, Jr Aj Dent, Jr - 2 12.5 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 5.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 40.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
Leroy Kelly Iv Leroy Kelly Iv - 20 21.1 5.6 3.0 1.2 2.0 0.0 0.8 4.7 6.3 -10 -1.1 -3.6 42.6 32.6 72.0 -0.32 53.3 50.0
Dj Dormu Dj Dormu G 19 19.0 5.6 1.3 1.9 0.9 0.0 1.5 6.0 2.2 -42 -4.2 -10.2 36.8 18.2 61.5 -0.5 42.3 39.5
Kade Douglas Kade Douglas G 30 15.4 5.5 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 4.8 2.0 19 0.8 5.2 39.9 33.3 76.5 -0.03 52.2 48.6
J. Mizell J. Mizell - 30 28.5 5.5 3.4 2.3 1.8 0.1 1.9 4.9 6.3 71 2.8 7.1 42.6 0.0 76.0 0.78 48.2 42.6
Kaia Isaac Kaia Isaac - 30 24.8 5.4 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.5 4.9 3.6 27 1.3 3.7 38.4 35.8 88.0 -0.13 51.9 48.3
O. Owens O. Owens F 28 17.6 4.4 3.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.3 4.1 4.5 -62 -3.1 -13.8 35.7 29.0 71.1 -0.91 45.6 39.6
Malek Archie Malek Archie G 1 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2 1.0 17.7 100.0 0 0 -0.01 100.0 100.0
Cam Thomas Cam Thomas - 13 6.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.4 2.5 0.6 -11 -1.2 -8.3 39.4 0.0 100.0 -0.24 43.2 39.4
M. Vrabel M. Vrabel - 12 6.2 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.5 1.9 -4 -0.4 -6.6 66.7 0 50.0 0.0 65.4 66.7
Damion Porter Jr. Damion Porter Jr. - 15 7.5 1.2 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 6 0.7 18.6 27.3 20.0 62.5 -0.27 35.3 29.5
J. Martinez J. Martinez - 7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.03 34.7 0.0
R. Marom R. Marom - 4 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.5 -4 -1.0 -436.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.03 0.0 0.0
Jaden Jinks Jaden Jinks F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG