🐻⬇️🏀

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Tarleton Sta... Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
15.5% (#350) 84.5% (#217) Tarleto... -11.1 69-81
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
10.2% (#358) 89.8% (#212) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
14.3% (#342) 85.7% (#198) Tarleto... -19.7 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
16.9% (#337) 83.1% (#194) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
30.1% (#343) 69.9% (#195) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
29.8% (#343) 70.2% (#195) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
11.5% (#354) 88.5% (#185) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Alcorn State Braves Tarleton Sta...
Games 2 2
PPG 70.5 88.0
FG% 41.9% 52.1%
3PT% 35.8% 34.9%
FT% 58.5% 67.2%
RPG 28.5 39.0
APG 16.5 18.0
SPG 6.5 7.0
BPG 2.5 5.0
TOPG 18.5 15.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Alcorn State Braves Tarleton Sta...
Adj. Off Eff 92.9 98.9
Adj. Def Eff 107.1 101.1
Adj. Net Eff -14.1 -2.2

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Alcorn State Braves Top Players

No player data available

Tarleton State Texans Top Players

No player data available