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TCU

Also known as: TCU Horned Frogs
Program History

2026 Team Stats (38 games)

76.8
PPG
56.9
Opp
+19.9
Margin
46.8%
FG%
35.6%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
41.1
RPG
16.6
APG
13.7
TO
70.2
Est. poss./game
78.2
Adj PPG
49.3
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1616 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1403 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +65 elo More โ†’ 1182 (#11) HCA +65 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ +30.7 (#13) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +27.7 (#17) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.969 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +28.2 More โ†’ 0.969 (#6) NetEff +28.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +45.6 More โ†’ 0.995 (#10) AdjNet +45.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +46.5 More โ†’ 0.996 (#11) AdjNet +46.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 49.3 More โ†’ 0.933 (#13) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 49.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 53.0 More โ†’ 0.839 (#17) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 53.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.958 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.950 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 38 More โ†’ 1430 (#5) RD 94 | GP 38

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 82 - 43
2025-11-09 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 88 - 46
2025-11-12 vs Tennessee State Lady Tigers W 122 - 39
2025-11-16 @ NC State Wolfpack W 69 - 59
2025-11-20 vs Tarleton State Texans W 80 - 32
2025-11-23 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 93 - 57
2025-11-27 vs Richmond Spiders W 68 - 52
2025-11-28 vs UAB Blazers W 82 - 61
2025-12-03 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 84 - 56
2025-12-06 vs UTEP Miners W 95 - 40
2025-12-14 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 89 - 49
2025-12-16 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 109 - 54
2025-12-20 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 77 - 55
2025-12-31 @ BYU Cougars W 72 - 48
2026-01-03 @ Utah Utes L 77 - 87
2026-01-07 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls W 69 - 61
2026-01-11 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 77 - 46
2026-01-14 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 51 - 50
2026-01-17 vs Arizona Wildcats W 78 - 62
2026-01-19 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 69 - 71
2026-01-24 @ UCF Knights W 67 - 50
2026-01-29 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 79 - 77
2026-02-01 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 60 - 62
2026-02-04 vs Houston Cougars W 90 - 45
2026-02-08 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 79 - 80
2026-02-12 @ Baylor Bears W 83 - 67
2026-02-15 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 59 - 50
2026-02-18 @ Houston Cougars W 72 - 50
2026-02-22 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 80 - 73
2026-02-25 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 83 - 70
2026-03-01 vs Baylor Bears W 65 - 53
2026-03-06 vs BYU Cougars W 63 - 46
2026-03-07 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 74 - 62
2026-03-08 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 53 - 62
2026-03-20 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 86 - 40
2026-03-22 vs Washington Huskies W 62 - 59
2026-03-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 79 - 69
2026-03-30 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 52 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Olivia Miles Olivia Miles G 38 35.4 19.6 7.2 6.6 1.8 0.3 3.7 14.7 17.1 457 31 14.7 17.2 48.1 35.1 83.9 6.17 59.3 54.7
Marta Suarez Marta Suarez F 38 31.4 17.1 7.4 2.3 1.4 0.2 3.2 14.2 10.9 409 31 13.2 17.3 45.3 37.0 89.2 4.43 56.1 53.0
Donovyn Hunter Donovyn Hunter G 38 33.9 10.2 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.3 1.3 8.6 7.2 415 31 13.4 15.9 45.7 33.7 73.8 4.44 56.5 54.9
Clara Silva Clara Silva C 38 24.0 9.0 7.4 1.3 0.6 1.8 1.4 6.8 11.8 337 31 10.9 18.4 59.2 0 56.5 1.41 59.7 59.2
Taylor Bigby Taylor Bigby G 38 26.1 8.2 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.8 6.4 5.2 319 31 10.3 15.9 44.1 38.9 73.8 3.38 59.2 57.3
Maddie Scherr Maddie Scherr G 20 23.2 5.3 3.1 3.0 1.1 0.8 0.9 4.4 8.1 136 15 9.1 16.8 38.6 38.4 78.6 0.19 56.8 54.5
Veronica Sheffey Veronica Sheffey G 37 11.2 4.1 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.5 53 30 1.8 6.3 45.5 34.2 84.4 -0.64 58.0 51.3
Kennedy Basham Kennedy Basham C 37 12.3 2.8 3.6 0.4 0.1 1.6 0.6 2.1 5.8 61 30 2.0 7.0 52.6 0 61.8 -3.38 55.4 52.6
Clara Bielefeld Clara Bielefeld G 30 13.0 2.0 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.8 4.1 103 23 4.5 14.1 41.8 20.8 64.3 1.09 49.1 46.4
Taliyah Parker Taliyah Parker G 20 5.9 1.6 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.5 0.3 14 14 1.0 6.4 26.5 16.7 55.6 -3.29 30.2 27.6
Natalie Mazurek Natalie Mazurek F 18 3.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.8 40 12 3.3 34.0 29.6 32.0 50.0 0.43 45.2 44.4
Emily Hunter Emily Hunter C 7 1.9 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 6 5 1.2 21.9 0.0 0 0 -1.35 0.0 0.0
Sarah Portlock Sarah Portlock C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Aaliyah Roberson Aaliyah Roberson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2339 located field-goal attempts in 38 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Miles24% Miles23% Miles25% Miles43% Miles65% Hunter27% Hunter52% Suarez30% Miles50% Miles29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Suarez27% Suarez24% Suarez32% Miles50% Miles49% Bigby34% Hunter40% Suarez31% Miles53% Hunter28%
Misses: who misses most here

Olivia MilesMarta SuarezDonovyn HunterTaylor Bigby

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 441-691 63.8 882 Olivia Miles 24% (216 pts) Clara Silva 22% (198 pts) Marta Suarez 27% (68 misses) Olivia Miles 20% (51 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 242-506 47.8 484 Olivia Miles 23% (110 pts) Marta Suarez 22% (106 pts) Marta Suarez 24% (63 misses) Olivia Miles 23% (61 misses)
Mid-range left 28-72 38.9 56 Olivia Miles 25% (14 pts) Veronica Sheffey 21% (12 pts) Marta Suarez 32% (14 misses) Veronica Sheffey 16% (7 misses)
Mid-range center 23-45 51.1 46 Olivia Miles 43% (20 pts) Veronica Sheffey 22% (10 pts) Olivia Miles 50% (11 misses) Clara Silva 18% (4 misses)
Mid-range right 23-78 29.5 46 Olivia Miles 65% (30 pts) Donovyn Hunter 13% (6 pts) Olivia Miles 49% (27 misses) Marta Suarez 11% (6 misses)
Left corner 3 62-138 44.9 186 Donovyn Hunter 27% (51 pts) Taylor Bigby 26% (48 pts) Taylor Bigby 34% (26 misses) Donovyn Hunter 22% (17 misses)
Right corner 3 29-76 38.2 87 Donovyn Hunter 52% (45 pts) Taylor Bigby 24% (21 pts) Donovyn Hunter 40% (19 misses) Marta Suarez 21% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 107-296 36.1 321 Marta Suarez 30% (96 pts) Taylor Bigby 26% (84 pts) Marta Suarez 31% (59 misses) Taylor Bigby 21% (39 misses)
Above-break 3 center 52-164 31.7 156 Olivia Miles 50% (78 pts) Marta Suarez 33% (51 pts) Olivia Miles 53% (59 misses) Marta Suarez 24% (27 misses)
Above-break 3 right 87-273 31.9 261 Olivia Miles 29% (75 pts) Donovyn Hunter 23% (60 pts) Donovyn Hunter 28% (53 misses) Olivia Miles 24% (44 misses)