Model Predictions
| Model | Incarnate Word Cardinals | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.6% | 99.4% | +40.4 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +45.1 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +28 (84-56). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorja Elliott * | 38 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Londyn Oliphant * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Morgan Borgstadt * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Raimi McCrary * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Madison Williams * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brynn Lusby | 15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Monton | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mallory McQuietor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Deja Lumsden | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bria McClure | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Izzy Majarucon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Miles * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Donovyn Hunter * | 33 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Marta Suarez * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Clara Silva * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Maddie Scherr * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Bigby | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kennedy Basham | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Clara Bielefeld | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Veronica Sheffey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Taliyah Parker | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Natalie Mazurek | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter