Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | +23.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +10.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +7 (80-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada Williams * | 39 | 6-23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Arianna Jackson * | 33 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Kenzie Hare * | 31 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Audi Crooks * | 29 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Addy Brown * | 25 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +9.4 |
| Alisa Williams | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Reese Beaty | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Sydney Harris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.2 |
| Lilly Taulelei | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovyn Hunter * | 40 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Olivia Miles * | 39 | 8-21 | 1-7 | 9-10 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 24 | +12.2 |
| Marta Suarez * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +3.1 |
| Taylor Bigby * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Clara Silva * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -11.2 |
| Kennedy Basham | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Clara Bielefeld | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Veronica Sheffey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter