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Syracuse

Also known as: Syracuse Orange, Syracuse
Program History

2012 Team Stats (31 games)

73.8
PPG
60.6
Opp
+13.2
Margin
46.7%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
71.3%
FT%
34.1
RPG
15.0
APG
10.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.2
Adj PPG
57.3
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1494 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1431 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1194 (#6) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +19.0 (#6) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +16.4 (#9) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.904 (#3) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.1 More โ†’ 0.971 (#6) AdjNet +30.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.5 More โ†’ 0.971 (#6) AdjNet +30.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 57.3 More โ†’ 0.836 (#6) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 57.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 59.7 More โ†’ 0.733 (#13) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.901 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.890 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1445 (#2) RD 100 | GP 37

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Fordham Rams W 78 - 53
2011-11-14 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 92 - 56
2011-11-15 vs Albany Great Danes W 98 - 74
2011-11-19 vs Colgate Raiders W 92 - 47
2011-11-23 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 69 - 58
2011-11-25 vs Stanford Cardinal W 69 - 63
2011-11-29 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 84 - 48
2011-12-02 vs Florida Gators W 72 - 68
2011-12-06 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 62 - 56
2011-12-10 vs George Washington Colonials W 85 - 50
2011-12-17 @ NC State Wolfpack W 88 - 72
2011-12-20 vs Bucknell Bison W 80 - 61
2011-12-22 vs Tulane Green Wave W 80 - 61
2011-12-28 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 75 - 49
2012-01-01 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 87 - 68
2012-01-04 @ Providence Friars W 87 - 73
2012-01-07 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 73 - 66
2012-01-11 @ Villanova Wildcats W 79 - 66
2012-01-14 vs Providence Friars W 78 - 55
2012-01-16 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 71 - 63
2012-01-21 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 58 - 67
2012-01-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 60 - 53
2012-01-28 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 63 - 61
2012-02-04 @ St. John's Red Storm W 95 - 70
2012-02-08 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 64 - 61
2012-02-11 vs UConn Huskies W 85 - 67
2012-02-13 @ Louisville Cardinals W 52 - 51
2012-02-19 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 74 - 64
2012-02-22 vs South Florida Bulls W 56 - 48
2012-02-25 @ UConn Huskies W 71 - 69
2012-03-03 vs Louisville Cardinals W 58 - 49
2012-03-08 vs UConn Huskies W 58 - 55
2012-03-09 vs Cincinnati Bearcats L 68 - 71
2012-03-15 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 72 - 65
2012-03-17 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 75 - 59
2012-03-22 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 64 - 63
2012-03-24 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 70 - 77

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kris Joseph Kris Joseph F 37 32.2 13.4 4.7 1.5 1.4 0.6 1.5 8.7 11.4 296 32 9.2 12.0 41.5 33.6 76.6 3.45 65.7 48.0
Dion Waiters Dion Waiters G 37 24.1 12.6 2.3 2.5 1.8 0.3 1.3 7.8 10.4 309 32 9.7 17.3 46.6 33.7 75.0 3.64 69.9 51.7
Brandon Triche Brandon Triche G 37 22.5 9.4 2.5 2.6 1.0 0.1 1.4 6.2 7.9 235 32 7.3 13.9 41.9 35.1 79.2 4.88 66.4 49.3
Scoop Jardine Scoop Jardine G 37 25.2 8.9 2.4 4.9 1.4 0.1 2.3 6.4 8.9 200 32 6.2 10.2 48.7 37.0 57.6 0.7 62.8 55.9
C.J. Fair C.J. Fair F 37 26.4 8.5 5.4 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.8 5.8 9.8 287 32 9.0 14.2 47.7 23.8 73.4 2.31 61.5 48.8
Fab Melo Fab Melo C 30 25.4 7.8 5.8 0.7 0.5 2.9 1.4 4.4 12.0 226 26 8.7 14.3 57.3 0 72.9 1.2 76.9 57.3
James Southerland James Southerland F 37 16.0 6.8 3.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.4 4.6 7.1 254 32 7.9 21.8 46.5 32.2 66.7 5.75 69.3 55.0
Mookie Jones Mookie Jones F 7 5.4 2.9 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.0 0.1 2.0 2.4 6 7 0.9 6.7 35.7 36.4 60.0 -1.9 61.7 50.0
Michael Carter-Williams Michael Carter-Williams G 25 10.8 2.8 1.5 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.6 1.8 5.2 121 21 5.8 22.5 47.7 50.0 57.1 1.32 65.7 55.7
Rakeem Christmas Rakeem Christmas F 37 11.5 2.8 2.9 0.2 0.3 0.8 0.6 1.8 4.5 49 32 1.5 5.4 55.2 0 54.2 -4.48 65.8 55.2
B. Keita B. Keita C 35 12.3 2.3 2.5 0.1 0.2 1.0 0.3 1.1 4.7 149 31 4.8 17.3 64.9 0 63.6 1.07 85.7 64.9
Matt Tomaszewski Matt Tomaszewski F 10 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.1 1 8 0.1 2.7 55.6 57.1 0 -0.92 77.8 77.8
Albert Nassar Albert Nassar F 2 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.17 100.0 100.0
Brandon Reese Brandon Reese G 13 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 -3 10 -0.3 -8.8 16.7 0.0 71.4 -1.43 38.5 16.7
G. Hoffmann G. Hoffmann G 9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 -3 8 -0.4 -14.4 33.3 33.3 0 -1.2 50.0 50.0
Nick Resavy Nick Resavy G 11 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 -4 9 -0.4 -16.8 25.0 0.0 0 -1.58 25.0 25.0
Matt Lyde-Cajuste Matt Lyde-Cajuste F 9 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 -8 8 -1.0 -32.8 100.0 0 0 -1.95 100.0 100.0
Nolan Hart Nolan Hart G 2 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.17 0.0 0.0
Russ DeRemer Russ DeRemer G 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.5 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG