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2012-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange +9 (58-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dieng * 40 3-13 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 2 1 6 7 -
P. Siva * 38 1-2 0-1 2-2 5 4 2 0 6 4 7 -
C. Smith * 28 1-8 0-5 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
J. Swopshire * 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
W. Blackshear * 13 1-5 1-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
K. Kuric 32 3-9 1-7 1-2 4 1 2 1 1 8 6 -
R. Smith 18 5-14 0-6 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 10 0 -
C. Behanan 17 5-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 10 11 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Joseph * 36 4-9 2-6 1-3 4 2 2 0 3 11 7 -
F. Melo * 34 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 4 2 4 12 -
B. Triche * 28 5-10 3-6 5-6 4 4 1 0 1 18 16 -
S. Jardine * 18 0-4 0-2 0-1 1 3 0 1 3 0 -2 -
R. Christmas * 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Waiters 29 5-9 2-3 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 13 10 -
C.J. Fair 24 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Southerland 20 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 3 1 7 10 -
B. Keita 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Carter-Williams 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
B. Reese 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter