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Stanford Cardinal

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Stanford Cardinal
Program History
Coach: Johnny Dawkins Jr

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1276 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1182 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1127 (#30) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +12.1 (#32) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +14.4 (#17) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.822 (#27) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.1 More → 0.911 (#29) AdjNet +20.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.4 More → 0.913 (#29) AdjNet +20.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.737 (#32) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.720 (#16) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.809 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.807 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 34 More → 1207 (#44) RD 89 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 91 - 52
2011-11-14 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 75 - 59
2011-11-15 vs Colorado State Rams W 64 - 52
2011-11-18 @ UC Davis Aggies W 70 - 49
2011-11-23 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 82 - 67
2011-11-25 @ Syracuse Orange L 63 - 69
2011-11-28 vs Pacific Tigers W 79 - 37
2011-12-01 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 72 - 49
2011-12-04 vs NC State Wolfpack W 76 - 72
2011-12-17 vs San Diego Toreros W 75 - 55
2011-12-19 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 75 - 56
2011-12-22 vs Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 71
2011-12-29 vs UCLA Bruins W 60 - 59
2011-12-31 vs USC Trojans W 51 - 43
2012-01-05 @ Oregon Ducks L 67 - 78
2012-01-07 @ Oregon State Beavers W 103 - 101
2012-01-14 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 84 - 64
2012-01-19 @ Washington State Cougars L 69 - 81
2012-01-29 @ California Golden Bears L 59 - 69
2012-02-04 vs Arizona Wildcats L 43 - 56
2012-02-09 @ UCLA Bruins L 61 - 72
2012-02-12 @ USC Trojans W 59 - 47
2012-02-16 vs Oregon State Beavers W 87 - 82
2012-02-19 vs Oregon Ducks L 64 - 68
2012-02-23 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 74 - 50
2012-02-25 @ Utah Utes L 57 - 58
2012-03-04 vs California Golden Bears W 75 - 70
2012-03-07 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 85 - 65
2012-03-08 @ California Golden Bears L 71 - 77
2012-03-13 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 76 - 65
2012-03-19 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 92 - 88
2012-03-21 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 84 - 56
2012-03-27 vs UMass Minutemen W 74 - 64
2012-03-29 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 75 - 51

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chasson Randle Chasson Randle G 34 30.5 14.1 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.2 2.7 15.8 179 31 5.8 8.2 41.8 39.3 65.5 2.65 230.8 53.8
J. Owens J. Owens F-C 34 27.0 11.7 5.9 0.9 1.1 0.7 1.6 2.4 16.3 166 31 5.4 8.5 59.0 0 68.4 3.47 217.8 59.0
A. Bright A. Bright G 34 28.2 11.7 1.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 2.2 2.1 13.3 140 31 4.5 7.2 39.4 39.4 92.6 1.87 239.5 48.6
A. Brown A. Brown G 34 24.3 8.2 4.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.3 1.8 11.1 48 31 1.5 2.8 38.3 40.0 57.1 -3.14 211.6 48.3
D. Powell D. Powell F 32 17.5 5.8 4.5 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.6 1.0 9.9 102 29 3.5 8.3 43.8 0.0 68.2 0.69 221.9 43.8
J. Huestis J. Huestis F 34 19.9 5.1 4.6 0.9 0.5 1.2 0.8 1.3 10.2 128 31 4.1 9.1 34.9 25.0 63.6 2.01 179.8 39.5
A. Zimmermann A. Zimmermann F 30 14.2 4.2 2.6 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.9 6.7 84 27 3.1 10.0 46.4 33.3 72.7 2.34 193.4 50.0
J. Gage J. Gage F 30 8.8 4.0 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.1 4.4 19 25 0.8 3.6 37.5 26.1 83.3 0.12 173.2 46.9
J. Mann J. Mann G 33 19.6 3.9 3.0 2.0 0.8 0.0 1.5 0.8 7.4 100 30 3.3 7.2 25.9 0.0 55.6 1.68 183.3 25.9
G. Harris G. Harris G 12 13.5 3.6 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.2 6.1 34 9 3.8 12.4 33.3 0 50.0 0.8 554.1 33.3
J. Trotter J. Trotter F-C 25 8.1 2.3 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 3.8 37 25 1.5 8.7 33.3 50.0 75.0 2.38 269.5 38.9
S. Nastic S. Nastic C 23 6.0 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.5 2.3 -30 19 -1.6 -12.2 45.5 0.0 80.0 -4.19 178.0 45.5
A. Brown A. Brown F 7 3.7 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.0 2.7 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 568.2 0
J. Ryan J. Ryan - 11 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 511.4 0
R. Lemons R. Lemons G 12 3.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 -18 6 -3.0 -41.2 50.0 0.0 0 -3.32 125.0 50.0
W. Morgan W. Morgan G 9 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.1 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.79 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG