Southwestern Pirates
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 892 (#681) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 888 (#689) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#392) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.7 (#844) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.8 (#609) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.392 (#584) | AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 72.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.138 (#594) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.183 (#592) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 917 (#410) | RD 350 | GP 2 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L | 60 - 111 |
| 2021-12-12 | @ | Texas State Bobcats | L | 54 - 101 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I. Small
|
F | 1 | 19.0 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 149 | 5.3 | 7.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 |
S. Faramade
|
C | 1 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 122 | 3.9 | 14.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.81 | 0 | 0 |
P. Hannah
|
G | 2 | 23.5 | 13.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.54 | 0 | 0 |
K. Poerschke
|
G | 2 | 23.0 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
C. Smith Jr.
|
G | 2 | 23.0 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | -50 | -3.3 | -4.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 |
E. White
|
G | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 76 | 4.2 | 38.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 |
S. Adams
|
G | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 208 | 7.4 | 11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.68 | 0 | 0 |
D. Jenkins
|
- | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29 | 4.8 | 24.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 |
J. Hester
|
G | 2 | 19.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
Z. Black
|
F | 2 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
J. Jones
|
G | 2 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 80 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 |
N. Lacewell
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
Ja. McCormack
|
G | 2 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Guidry
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Lacy
|
G | 2 | 19.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0 | 0 |
S. Smith
|
- | 2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 131 | 4.2 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 |
B. Luechtefeld
|
- | 2 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0 | 0 |
L. Toussaint
|
F | 2 | 18.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Player #4598982
|
- | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Murphy
|
F | 2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Crump
|
G | 2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Duetsch
|
- | 2 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG