🐻⬇️🏀

Southern

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Southern Jaguars
Program History
Coach: Kevin Johnson

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

72.0
PPG
85.0
Opp
-13.0
Margin
44.1%
FG%
38.1%
3P%
80.0%
FT%
26.0
RPG
15.0
APG
18.0
TO
74.6
Est. poss./game
68.4
Adj PPG
67.3
Adj Opp PPG
#104
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 778 (returning production + recruiting): last season 922, returning -67, transfers -51, freshmen -27 More → 775 (#301) Preseason prior 778 (returning production + recruiting): last season 922, returning -67, transfers -51, freshmen -27
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 977 (#290) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More → 976 (#200) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +17.4 More → +2.2 (#116) HCA +17.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More → +1.5 (#103) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.129 (#164) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.2 More → 0.129 (#164) NetEff -17.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.346 (#163) AdjNet -5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.346 (#163) AdjNet -5.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.526 (#104) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.526 (#103) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.457 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.457 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 904 (#175) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ SMU Mustangs L 72 - 85
2026-11-06 @ TCU Horned Frogs - Preview
2026-11-08 @ Drake Bulldogs - Preview
2026-11-10 @ Iowa State Cyclones - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R'Chaun King R'Chaun King F 1 23.0 12.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 - - - - 71.4 0 66.7 - 72.1 71.4
Dj Dormu Dj Dormu G 1 27.0 10.0 1.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 5.0 11.0 5.0 - - - - 36.4 40.0 0 - 45.5 45.5
Malik Ferguson Malik Ferguson G 1 24.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 - - - - 60.0 66.7 50.0 - 76.5 80.0
Karez Demory Karez Demory G 1 10.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 58.1 50.0
Justin Page Justin Page G 1 28.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 - - - - 25.0 66.7 100.0 - 45.0 37.5
Armonii Benjamin Armonii Benjamin G 1 16.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 - - - - 20.0 20.0 100.0 - 42.5 30.0
Julian Greer Julian Greer G 1 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Aaron Hall Aaron Hall F 1 11.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
Olajuwon Ibrahim Olajuwon Ibrahim C 1 12.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Duran Parish Duran Parish G 1 11.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 50.0 - 30.7 25.0
Lionel Bell Lionel Bell C 1 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Joseph Hunter Joseph Hunter G 1 17.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 6.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Noah Boyde Noah Boyde C 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lionel Larvadain III Lionel Larvadain III G 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Sean Van Dorn Jr Sean Van Dorn Jr G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

59 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

King50% Demory33% Ibrahim100% Bell100% Greer50% Greer100% Dormu50% Page100% Benjamin25%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Hall33% Page36% Larvadain100% Dormu67% Dormu50% Demory100% Benjamin50% Benjamin50% Hall25%
Misses: who misses most here

Dj DormuR'Chaun KingJustin PageKarez DemoryJulian GreerOlajuwon IbrahimArmonii BenjaminAaron HallLionel BellLionel Larvadain III

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 8-11 72.7 16 R'Chaun King 50% (8 pts) Aaron Hall 12% (2 pts) Aaron Hall 33% (1 misses) Justin Page 33% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 6-17 35.3 12 Karez Demory 33% (4 pts) Dj Dormu 17% (2 pts) Justin Page 36% (4 misses) R'Chaun King 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 1-2 50.0 2 Olajuwon Ibrahim 100% (2 pts) - Lionel Larvadain III 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range center 1-4 25.0 2 Lionel Bell 100% (2 pts) - Dj Dormu 67% (2 misses) Karez Demory 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-4 50.0 4 Julian Greer 50% (2 pts) Karez Demory 50% (2 pts) Dj Dormu 50% (1 misses) Duran Parish 50% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-1 100.0 3 Julian Greer 100% (3 pts) - - -
Right corner 3 0-1 0.0 0 - - Karez Demory 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 2-8 25.0 6 Dj Dormu 50% (3 pts) Malik Ferguson 50% (3 pts) Armonii Benjamin 50% (3 misses) Dj Dormu 17% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-3 33.3 3 Justin Page 100% (3 pts) - Armonii Benjamin 50% (1 misses) Dj Dormu 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 4-8 50.0 12 Armonii Benjamin 25% (3 pts) Dj Dormu 25% (3 pts) Aaron Hall 25% (1 misses) Dj Dormu 25% (1 misses)