Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
0.8% (#304) | 99.2% (#10) | Iowa St... -35.7 | 57-93 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
2.0% (#300) | 98.0% (#11) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.7% (#304) | 93.3% (#17) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.1% (#280) | 88.9% (#85) | Iowa St... -22.9 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.9% (#280) | 88.1% (#86) | Iowa St... -22.0 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.1% (#347) | 98.9% (#32) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.5% (#329) | 91.5% (#26) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.2% (#329) | 91.8% (#26) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
5.7% (#312) | 94.3% (#40) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.5% (#320) | 90.5% (#55) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.9% (#312) | 92.1% (#37) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.7% (#310) | 91.3% (#40) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.6% (#304) | 90.4% (#13) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend | Prior-only ranking with no forecast | |||
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Southern Jaguars | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| PPG | 63.0 | 79.5 |
| FG% | 39.5% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 25.0% |
| FT% | 78.8% | 69.1% |
| RPG | 28.0 | 37.0 |
| APG | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| SPG | 12.5 | 7.0 |
| BPG | 4.0 | 6.5 |
| TOPG | 20.0 | 13.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Southern Jaguars | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 92.5 | 103.8 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 107.5 | 96.2 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -15.1 | 7.6 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Southern Jaguars Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Dormu | 6.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| Justin Page | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 23.5 |
| Malik Ferguson | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 |
| R'Chaun King | 8.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 17.0 |
| Cam Amboree | 6.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 |
Iowa State Cyclones Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Singleton | 19.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 29.0 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 28.5 |
| Ryan Prather Jr. | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 28.5 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24.0 |
| Blake Buchanan | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 20.0 |