Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
0.8% (#305) | 99.2% (#10) | Iowa St... -35.9 | 57-93 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
2.4% (#298) | 97.6% (#11) | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.4% (#312) | 92.6% (#15) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
9.9% (#288) | 90.1% (#53) | Iowa St... -24.3 | - |
| Margin Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
10.6% (#289) | 89.4% (#56) | Iowa St... -23.5 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.2% (#338) | 98.8% (#31) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.1% (#332) | 91.9% (#27) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.8% (#333) | 92.2% (#27) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
6.9% (#298) | 93.1% (#35) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
11.2% (#301) | 88.8% (#51) | - | - |
| Core Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
7.9% (#312) | 92.1% (#32) | - | - |
| Recency Ensemble
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.7% (#313) | 91.3% (#33) | - | - |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
8.7% (#320) | 91.3% (#12) | - | - |
| Adjusted Context Blend
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.0% (#256) | 97.0% (#6) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Southern Jaguars | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 |
| PPG | 64.7 | 79.5 |
| FG% | 42.1% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 25.0% |
| FT% | 77.2% | 69.1% |
| RPG | 28.3 | 37.0 |
| APG | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| SPG | 11.7 | 7.0 |
| BPG | 3.7 | 6.5 |
| TOPG | 20.3 | 13.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Southern Jaguars | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 93.0 | 103.8 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 107.0 | 96.2 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -14.1 | 7.6 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Southern Jaguars Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Dormu | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 |
| Justin Page | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 21.7 |
| Malik Ferguson | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 20.7 |
| R'Chaun King | 8.0 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 20.7 |
| Joseph Hunter | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 17.7 |
Iowa State Cyclones Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Singleton | 19.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 29.0 |
| Tamin Lipsey | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 28.5 |
| Ryan Prather Jr. | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 28.5 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 24.0 |
| Blake Buchanan | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 20.0 |