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Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Program History
Coach: Todd Simon

2022 Team Stats (2 games)

76.5
PPG
72.6
Opp
+6.0
Margin
40.9%
FG%
24.2%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
40.5
RPG
8.0
APG
15.0
TO
90.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1143 (#204) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1069 (#90) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +20.8 (#215) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +11.9 (#173) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.515 (#57) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.9 More → 0.341 (#170) NetEff -5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -16.1 More → 0.135 (#103) AdjNet -16.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -16.4 More → 0.130 (#103) AdjNet -16.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.620 (#103) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.760 (#150) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.738 (#143) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 30 More → 1126 (#124) RD 111 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Bethesda University Flames W 116 - 74
2021-11-12 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers L 76 - 83
2021-11-15 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 51 - 70
2021-11-23 @ Yale Bulldogs W 88 - 85
2021-12-02 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 89 - 76
2021-12-04 @ Idaho Vandals W 81 - 75
2021-12-08 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 60 - 56
2021-12-11 vs University of Saint Katherine Firebirds W 100 - 61
2021-12-18 @ Michigan Wolverines L 50 - 87
2021-12-22 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers W 87 - 59
2021-12-30 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 64 - 51
2022-01-01 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 81 - 91
2022-01-17 vs Portland State Vikings W 86 - 76
2022-01-22 vs Idaho State Bengals W 86 - 74
2022-01-24 vs Weber State Wildcats L 84 - 92
2022-01-27 @ Portland State Vikings W 85 - 82
2022-01-31 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 78 - 66
2022-02-03 vs Idaho Vandals W 75 - 59
2022-02-05 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 84 - 72
2022-02-07 @ Montana Grizzlies L 67 - 78
2022-02-12 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 83 - 57
2022-02-14 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 95 - 100
2022-02-19 vs Montana State Bobcats L 71 - 76
2022-02-21 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 79 - 48
2022-02-24 vs Montana Grizzlies W 82 - 74
2022-03-01 @ Montana State Bobcats L 53 - 69
2022-03-03 @ Idaho State Bengals W 79 - 71
2022-03-05 @ Weber State Wildcats W 80 - 70
2022-03-10 vs Portland State Vikings L 65 - 77
2022-03-22 @ UTEP Miners W 82 - 69

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Knight III J. Knight III - 14 31.4 15.9 3.8 3.7 2.0 0.6 3.5 2.1 20.5 -69 -3.5 -6.8 48.3 0 56.5 1.34 285.0 48.3
Tevian Jones Tevian Jones - 26 29.1 14.7 4.7 0.8 0.7 0.1 2.1 2.7 16.3 51 1.6 2.0 48.6 48.6 79.2 0.47 237.7 61.4
T. Cool T. Cool G 2 37.5 13.5 2.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 18.5 -134 -4.6 -5.9 0 0 0 0.02 0 0
J. Overton J. Overton F 2 29.0 13.0 2.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 2.5 0.0 15.0 188 5.7 7.8 0 0 0 1.32 0 0
M. Fausett M. Fausett - 29 30.3 12.1 8.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 1.0 2.0 19.5 93 2.7 3.9 49.1 15.8 71.4 0.4 277.9 51.8
H. Butler H. Butler - 30 20.9 8.1 4.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.9 11.5 17 0.5 0.9 35.7 0.0 44.4 -0.02 378.6 35.7
J. Spurgin J. Spurgin - 30 21.5 8.1 5.0 0.9 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 13.6 110 3.1 5.3 83.3 50.0 92.3 0.96 512.2 86.1
Aanen Moody Aanen Moody - 6 28.7 7.8 3.3 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.7 2.7 9.8 - - - 18.8 20.0 100.0 1.39 139.2 28.1
D. Marin D. Marin G 6 30.8 7.2 3.8 2.3 0.7 0.3 1.8 4.2 8.3 83 2.6 3.3 20.0 9.1 100.0 0.5 77.8 22.0
E. Taylor III E. Taylor III G 2 12.0 6.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.0 -91 -4.0 -13.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
L. Sorensen L. Sorensen G 2 19.5 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 -106 -3.8 -6.9 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
N. Fleming N. Fleming - 12 14.7 4.7 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 1.2 0.5 6.5 63 2.0 6.8 16.7 0.0 50.0 0.58 407.0 16.7
M. Porter M. Porter F 2 12.5 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 4.5 -157 -5.2 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.96 0 0
M. Moore M. Moore G 2 13.0 3.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.5 67 2.6 10.7 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.61 71.7 75.0
D. Barnes D. Barnes - 20 8.7 3.4 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.5 2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.22 1675.0 0.0
Jamari Sibley Jamari Sibley - 1 19.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 19 0.6 1.1 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
M. Williams M. Williams G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -83 -9.2 -51.1 0 0 0 1.13 0 0
P. Fallah P. Fallah F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Kozak M. Kozak F 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6 0.4 2.1 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG