Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -31 (48-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Spurgin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| M. Fausett * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| T. Jones * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| H. Butler | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cone * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Mains * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| D. Marin * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Towt * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| K. Haymon * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| E. Richards * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Green | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Aguek | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Stark | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Muhammad | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter