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San Diego State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: San Diego State Aztecs
Program History
Coach: Stacie Terry-Hutson

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

58.0
PPG
62.4
Opp
-4.4
Margin
35.4%
FG%
24.8%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
39.6
RPG
13.6
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
69.7
Adj Opp PPG
#248
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 761 (#280) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 862 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +87 elo More → 917 (#273) HCA +87 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -6.8 (#240) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -6.1 (#226) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.195 (#288) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.221 (#243) AdjNet -11.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.218 (#243) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.343 (#248) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.349 (#282) AdjO 61.5 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.295 (#256) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.296 (#258) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 28 More → 853 (#261) RD 140 | GP 28

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 44 - 72
2016-11-14 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 80 - 70
2016-11-17 @ San Diego Toreros L 53 - 91
2016-11-20 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 53 - 60
2016-11-26 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 58 - 64
2016-11-27 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 80 - 62
2016-12-02 @ UC Davis Aggies L 55 - 75
2016-12-09 vs Michigan Wolverines L 57 - 92
2016-12-11 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 84 - 70
2016-12-22 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 71 - 61
2016-12-28 vs Biola Eagles W 63 - 48
2016-12-31 @ New Mexico Lobos L 42 - 85
2017-01-04 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 83 - 78
2017-01-07 vs Boise State Broncos W 84 - 77
2017-01-11 @ San José State Spartans L 80 - 81
2017-01-14 @ Utah State Aggies L 47 - 53
2017-01-18 vs UNLV Lady Rebels W 87 - 68
2017-01-25 vs Air Force Falcons L 59 - 62
2017-01-28 @ Colorado State Rams L 43 - 60
2017-02-01 @ Wyoming Cowgirls L 67 - 80
2017-02-04 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 51 - 59
2017-02-08 vs San José State Spartans L 90 - 99
2017-02-11 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 65 - 88
2017-02-15 vs Utah State Aggies W 66 - 59
2017-02-18 @ UNLV Lady Rebels L 62 - 80
2017-02-22 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 50 - 59
2017-02-25 vs Colorado State Rams L 46 - 80
2017-02-28 @ Air Force Falcons W 64 - 51
2017-03-03 vs New Mexico Lobos W 63 - 51
2017-03-06 @ San José State Spartans L 58 - 76

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Fort M. Fort G 5 31.6 14.2 5.0 2.2 0.6 0.2 3.4 13.4 5.4 - - - - 34.3 0.0 80.6 - 44.0 34.3
L. Thorderson L. Thorderson G 5 25.8 9.0 4.8 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.4 11.6 4.2 - - - - 27.6 21.7 42.9 - 36.8 36.2
K. Ellison K. Ellison G 5 21.6 6.2 2.8 1.2 1.8 0.0 1.8 7.6 2.6 - - - - 26.3 28.6 100.0 - 39.4 36.8
A. Bostick A. Bostick G 5 26.0 5.8 5.6 3.8 2.6 0.0 1.0 6.6 10.2 - - - - 33.3 50.0 50.0 - 39.7 37.9
C. Greenhouse C. Greenhouse G 5 15.6 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.6 - - - - 52.9 0.0 75.0 - 58.5 52.9
G. Gomez G. Gomez G 5 21.0 4.6 2.8 3.0 0.2 0.0 1.8 4.4 4.4 - - - - 45.5 42.9 0.0 - 50.3 52.3
K. Lark K. Lark G 4 20.0 4.2 5.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 7.2 1.8 - - - - 27.6 8.3 0.0 - 28.4 29.3
B. Vanderdoes B. Vanderdoes F 5 11.6 4.0 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.0 3.6 3.0 - - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 50.6 50.0
N. Ekwedike N. Ekwedike C 1 10.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 - - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
A. Lowe A. Lowe G 2 4.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 - - - - 66.7 50.0 100.0 - 90.2 83.3
M. Terry M. Terry F 4 11.0 1.8 2.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.0 1.8 - - - - 37.5 0 50.0 - 39.4 37.5
A. Brown A. Brown G 3 7.0 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.0 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 102.5 100.0
A. Gomez Ferrer A. Gomez Ferrer F 5 13.8 1.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.4 2.8 - - - - 42.9 0 16.7 - 36.3 42.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG