Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +20 (75-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fort | 30 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| A. Bostick | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| L. Thorderson | 23 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Ellison | 20 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Greenhouse | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Terry | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Vanderdoes | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Gomez | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Gomez Ferrer | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| N. Ekwedike | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Lowe | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nafekh | 35 | 10-14 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 16 | - |
| K. Eaton | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| P. Gianotti | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Nagel | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| M. Bertsch | 26 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| M. Anderson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| N. Bessolo | 16 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Eaton | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Beyer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Hsu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter