Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -13 (51-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fort | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| K. Lark | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Thorderson | 28 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. Bostick | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| G. Gomez | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Ellison | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Brown | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Gomez Ferrer | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Greenhouse | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Terry | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Vanderdoes | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Porter | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Forde | 35 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| D. Bennett | 35 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Davis | 30 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Chapman | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| V. Itugbu | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Falvey | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Glaab | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter