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Samford

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Samford Bulldogs
Program History
Coach: Scott Padgett

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

72.8
PPG
69.4
Opp
+3.4
Margin
44.2%
FG%
31.1%
3P%
80.3%
FT%
33.8
RPG
12.2
APG
13.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
75.8
Adj Opp PPG
#171
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 941 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1024 (#154) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 994 (#179) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -0.5 (#173) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -1.9 (#194) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.568 (#129) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.3 More → 0.462 (#177) AdjNet -1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.458 (#178) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 75.8 More → 0.495 (#171) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 75.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.493 (#173) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 75.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.482 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.481 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 34 More → 985 (#182) RD 105 | GP 34

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-14 @ San Diego Toreros W 83 - 65
2016-11-16 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 48 - 58
2016-11-21 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 66 - 53
2016-11-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 55 - 70
2016-11-26 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 93 - 65
2016-11-27 vs Nicholls Colonels L 103 - 106
2016-11-29 @ Saint Louis Billikens W 68 - 64
2016-12-04 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 81 - 77
2016-12-10 vs Miles Golden Bears W 92 - 73
2016-12-16 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 82 - 79
2016-12-19 @ Florida State Seminoles L 68 - 76
2016-12-22 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 83 - 63
2016-12-28 vs Fort Valley State Wildcats W 94 - 74
2016-12-31 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 73 - 62
2017-01-02 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 70 - 65
2017-01-05 vs Furman Paladins L 73 - 83
2017-01-07 vs Wofford Terriers - Postponed
2017-01-08 vs Wofford Terriers W 91 - 89
2017-01-11 vs Mercer Bears L 65 - 68
2017-01-14 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 98 - 90
2017-01-21 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 78 - 82
2017-01-25 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 86 - 96
2017-01-28 @ VMI Keydets W 69 - 67
2017-02-02 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 82 - 63
2017-02-04 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 75 - 81
2017-02-09 @ Wofford Terriers L 127 - 131
2017-02-11 @ Furman Paladins L 73 - 90
2017-02-15 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 77 - 79
2017-02-18 vs VMI Keydets W 80 - 61
2017-02-22 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 72 - 68
2017-02-25 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 96 - 102
2017-02-27 @ Mercer Bears L 79 - 88
2017-03-03 vs VMI Keydets W 79 - 61
2017-03-04 @ Furman Paladins W 67 - 63
2017-03-05 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 72 - 81
2017-03-14 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 78 - 74
2017-03-20 @ Liberty Flames L 58 - 66

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Denzel-Dyson D. Denzel-Dyson G 21 30.4 15.2 4.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.2 3.3 15.5 89 33 2.7 4.0 42.0 29.2 84.6 1.17 198.9 47.1
Wyatt Walker Wyatt Walker F 19 30.3 14.1 10.7 1.5 0.7 1.2 2.1 3.2 23.0 45 31 1.5 2.3 60.7 0 63.3 -1.24 180.6 60.7
Christen Cunningham Christen Cunningham G 21 34.3 10.6 2.7 5.5 0.9 0.0 2.1 2.9 14.8 96 33 2.9 3.8 43.3 27.3 85.7 1.27 154.2 45.8
Alex Thompson Alex Thompson F 21 25.1 10.4 4.1 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.6 2.5 11.6 77 33 2.3 4.3 39.6 25.0 87.5 0.1 192.9 46.2
Josh Sharkey Josh Sharkey G 21 22.7 8.0 1.9 3.6 2.1 0.1 2.2 1.9 11.6 17 33 0.5 1.1 30.8 33.3 78.4 -2.34 152.9 34.6
Triston Chambers Triston Chambers G 21 22.4 7.0 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.9 2.0 7.6 83 33 2.5 5.2 42.9 39.4 100.0 -0.7 170.8 58.3
Alex Peters Alex Peters F 18 9.1 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 3.8 44 28 1.6 8.5 100.0 0 100.0 1.16 618.6 100.0
Justin Hopkins Justin Hopkins F 5 12.6 2.4 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.4 51 31 1.6 4.7 15.4 0.0 80.0 0.97 34.5 15.4
Eric Adams Eric Adams F 15 8.4 2.3 3.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.3 5.8 10 24 0.4 1.9 40.0 0 0 -1.0 350.0 40.0
Terry Brutus Terry Brutus F 5 11.6 2.2 2.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.8 3.4 -4 26 -0.2 -0.7 33.3 0 62.5 -2.56 43.9 33.3
Gerald Smith Gerald Smith G 15 4.9 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 -10 20 -0.5 -4.9 20.0 0.0 50.0 -3.27 102.0 20.0
Tanner Tapp Tanner Tapp G 5 2.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
James Boone James Boone G 4 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -6 6 -1.0 -6.0 0.0 0.0 0 -3.26 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG