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2016-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs San Diego Toreros Spread Result
Elo 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -3.0 โœ“ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 67.2% 32.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“

Actual: San Diego Toreros -18 (65-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christen Cunningham * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 0 0 2 14 23 -
Wyatt Walker * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 3 0 0 2 16 32 -
Alex Thompson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 17 24 -
D. Denzel-Dyson * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 20 25 -
Triston Chambers * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Josh Sharkey 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 1 12 18 -
Gerald Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
James Boone 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Eric Adams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Tanner Tapp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Olin Carter * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 15 19 -
Cameron Neubauer * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 9 14 -
Nassir Barrino * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 3 14 22 -
Tyler Williams * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
Brett Bailey * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 8 -
Mark Carbone 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 8 14 -
Juwan Gray 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 12 -
Frank Ryder 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
Jose Martinez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
Mitch Schafer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Nick Busch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter