๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Saint Francis Red Flash

Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

54.5
PPG
99.0
Opp
-44.5
Margin
38.0%
FG%
25.6%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
25.0
RPG
13.0
APG
27.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.8
Adj PPG
67.3
Adj Opp PPG
#234
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1046 (#134) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1014 (#154) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#155) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -6.1 (#234) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -9.0 (#266) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.313 (#232) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.3 More โ†’ 0.234 (#238) AdjNet -10.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.6 More โ†’ 0.225 (#238) AdjNet -10.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 67.3 More โ†’ 0.378 (#234) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 66.6 More โ†’ 0.393 (#242) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.370 (#220) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.373 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1012 (#153) RD 117 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Howard Bison W 69 - 61
2012-11-14 @ Bucknell Bison W 62 - 54
2012-11-18 vs Akron Zips W 74 - 73
2012-11-20 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 54 - 70
2012-11-28 @ Kent State Golden Flashes W 81 - 67
2012-12-01 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 44 - 61
2012-12-05 @ Duquesne Dukes L 38 - 69
2012-12-08 @ Colgate Raiders L 62 - 67
2012-12-31 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 55 - 128
2013-01-05 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 81 - 76
2013-01-07 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 67 - 62
2013-01-12 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 68 - 50
2013-01-14 @ Monmouth Hawks W 63 - 49
2013-01-19 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers L 50 - 71
2013-01-21 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats L 69 - 85
2013-01-26 vs Wagner Seahawks W 80 - 43
2013-01-28 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 72 - 63
2013-02-02 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 64 - 53
2013-02-04 @ LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds L 43 - 61
2013-02-09 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 83 - 59
2013-02-11 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 53 - 67
2013-02-16 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 50 - 61
2013-02-18 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 56 - 81
2013-02-23 vs Monmouth Hawks W 69 - 56
2013-02-25 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 100 - 89
2013-03-02 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 54 - 79
2013-03-04 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 71 - 76
2013-03-10 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 66 - 63
2013-03-13 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 83 - 67
2013-03-17 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 33 - 72
2013-03-21 @ Fairfield Stags L 51 - 71

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Hayward A. Hayward G 2 0.0 13.0 2.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 13.0 2.0 -90 24 -3.8 -6.8 38.5 37.5 0 -2.89 50.0 50.0
A. Williams A. Williams F 2 0.0 12.5 6.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 7.0 -55 24 -2.3 -2.9 55.6 40.0 50.0 0.92 60.6 61.1
S. Fleming S. Fleming NA 2 0.0 8.0 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.5 6.0 6.0 -92 24 -3.8 -7.1 58.3 0 40.0 -2.81 56.3 58.3
N. Gibbs N. Gibbs NA 2 0.0 7.5 1.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 7.5 4.5 -0.5 -48 22 -2.2 -3.9 44.4 0.0 87.5 0.93 59.9 44.4
B. Lilley B. Lilley NA 2 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 4.0 -1.0 -46 17 -2.7 -4.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.99 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG