Saint Francis Red Flash
2013 Team Stats (2 games)
54.5
PPG
99.0
Opp
-44.5
Margin
38.0%
FG%
25.6%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
25.0
RPG
13.0
APG
27.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.8
Adj PPG
67.3
Adj Opp PPG
#234
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1046 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1014 (#154) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1006 (#155) | HCA +72 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -6.1 (#234) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.0 (#266) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.313 (#232) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.234 (#238) | AdjNet -10.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.225 (#238) | AdjNet -10.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.378 (#234) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.393 (#242) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.370 (#220) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.373 (#221) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1012 (#153) | RD 117 | GP 31 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-09 | vs | Howard Bison | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2012-11-14 | @ | Bucknell Bison | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2012-11-18 | vs | Akron Zips | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2012-11-20 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 54 - 70 |
| 2012-11-28 | @ | Kent State Golden Flashes | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2012-12-01 | vs | Saint Joseph's Hawks | L | 44 - 61 |
| 2012-12-05 | @ | Duquesne Dukes | L | 38 - 69 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ | Colgate Raiders | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2012-12-31 | @ | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L | 55 - 128 |
| 2013-01-05 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | W | 81 - 76 |
| 2013-01-07 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W | 67 - 62 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W | 68 - 50 |
| 2013-01-14 | @ | Monmouth Hawks | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2013-01-19 | vs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | L | 50 - 71 |
| 2013-01-21 | vs | Quinnipiac Bobcats | L | 69 - 85 |
| 2013-01-26 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | W | 80 - 43 |
| 2013-01-28 | vs | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 72 - 63 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | W | 64 - 53 |
| 2013-02-04 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2013-02-09 | vs | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2013-02-11 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | L | 53 - 67 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ | Quinnipiac Bobcats | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2013-02-18 | @ | Sacred Heart Pioneers | L | 56 - 81 |
| 2013-02-23 | vs | Monmouth Hawks | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2013-02-25 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W | 100 - 89 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 54 - 79 |
| 2013-03-04 | @ | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2013-03-10 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2013-03-13 | @ | Sacred Heart Pioneers | W | 83 - 67 |
| 2013-03-17 | @ | Quinnipiac Bobcats | L | 33 - 72 |
| 2013-03-21 | @ | Fairfield Stags | L | 51 - 71 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Hayward
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | -90 | 24 | -3.8 | -6.8 | 38.5 | 37.5 | 0 | -2.89 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
A. Williams
|
F | 2 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | -55 | 24 | -2.3 | -2.9 | 55.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.92 | 60.6 | 61.1 |
S. Fleming
|
NA | 2 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -92 | 24 | -3.8 | -7.1 | 58.3 | 0 | 40.0 | -2.81 | 56.3 | 58.3 |
N. Gibbs
|
NA | 2 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | -0.5 | -48 | 22 | -2.2 | -3.9 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 0.93 | 59.9 | 44.4 |
B. Lilley
|
NA | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -46 | 17 | -2.7 | -4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG