Saint Francis Red Flash
2011 Team Stats (3 games)
34.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
34.3%
FG%
29.0%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
17.0
RPG
7.7
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.2
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2010-2011
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1253 (#52) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1131 (#87) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1097 (#55) | HCA +81 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.3 (#168) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.5 (#160) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.574 (#142) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.452 (#180) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.447 (#181) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.504 (#157) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.549 (#129) | AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.582 (#129) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.591 (#126) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1155 (#74) | RD 109 | GP 34 |
2011 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-11-12 | @ | Toledo Rockets | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2010-11-16 | @ | Towson Tigers | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2010-11-19 | @ | James Madison Dukes | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2010-11-20 | vs | Iona Gaels | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2010-11-23 | @ | Delaware Blue Hens | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2010-11-28 | vs | Coppin State Eagles | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2010-12-01 | vs | Pittsburgh Panthers | W | 85 - 71 |
| 2010-12-04 | vs | Kent State Golden Flashes | W | 101 - 92 |
| 2010-12-16 | @ | Howard Bison | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2010-12-18 | @ | West Virginia Mountaineers | L | 55 - 83 |
| 2010-12-22 | @ | Duquesne Dukes | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2010-12-28 | @ | Syracuse Orange | L | 60 - 94 |
| 2011-01-02 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | W | 66 - 54 |
| 2011-01-04 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2011-01-08 | @ | Wagner Seahawks | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2011-01-10 | @ | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2011-01-15 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2011-01-17 | vs | Monmouth Hawks | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2011-01-22 | vs | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2011-01-24 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2011-01-29 | @ | Sacred Heart Pioneers | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2011-01-31 | @ | Quinnipiac Bobcats | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2011-02-05 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2011-02-07 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2011-02-12 | vs | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 84 - 66 |
| 2011-02-14 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2011-02-19 | @ | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2011-02-21 | @ | Monmouth Hawks | L | 51 - 60 |
| 2011-02-26 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2011-02-28 | vs | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2011-03-05 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2011-03-08 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2011-03-13 | vs | Monmouth Hawks | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2011-03-20 | @ | Maryland Terrapins | L | 48 - 70 |
2011 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Leach
|
G | 3 | 0.0 | 13.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.7 | 1.7 | 17 | 25 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 42.9 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0.05 | 53.1 | 51.4 |
B. Lilley
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 0 | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.8 | 30.0 | 88.9 | 0.3 | 56.6 | 41.3 |
A. Daly
|
G | 3 | 0.0 | 9.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 8.7 | 2.3 | -12 | 25 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 42.3 | 38.9 | 0 | -1.8 | 55.8 | 55.8 |
A. Williams
|
F | 2 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 48 | 25 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 23.5 | 0.0 | 33.3 | 4.05 | 24.6 | 23.5 |
A. Smith
|
NA | 3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | -78 | 24 | -3.2 | -5.5 | 28.6 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.6 | 25.4 | 28.6 |
S. Fleming
|
NA | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 73 | 21 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG