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Saint Francis Red Flash

Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History

2011 Team Stats (3 games)

34.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
34.3%
FG%
29.0%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
17.0
RPG
7.7
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.2
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1253 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1131 (#87) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +81 elo More โ†’ 1097 (#55) HCA +81 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.3 (#168) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +0.5 (#160) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.574 (#142) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.452 (#180) AdjNet -1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.8 More โ†’ 0.447 (#181) AdjNet -1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.0 More โ†’ 0.504 (#157) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.6 More โ†’ 0.549 (#129) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.582 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.591 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1155 (#74) RD 109 | GP 34

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Toledo Rockets L 66 - 71
2010-11-16 @ Towson Tigers L 55 - 65
2010-11-19 @ James Madison Dukes L 49 - 64
2010-11-20 vs Iona Gaels W 77 - 68
2010-11-23 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 52 - 68
2010-11-28 vs Coppin State Eagles W 77 - 67
2010-12-01 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 85 - 71
2010-12-04 vs Kent State Golden Flashes W 101 - 92
2010-12-16 @ Howard Bison W 67 - 55
2010-12-18 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 55 - 83
2010-12-22 @ Duquesne Dukes L 69 - 84
2010-12-28 @ Syracuse Orange L 60 - 94
2011-01-02 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 66 - 54
2011-01-04 @ LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 63 - 60
2011-01-08 @ Wagner Seahawks W 65 - 63
2011-01-10 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 75 - 62
2011-01-15 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 73 - 70
2011-01-17 vs Monmouth Hawks L 68 - 75
2011-01-22 vs LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 69 - 56
2011-01-24 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 72 - 60
2011-01-29 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 61 - 64
2011-01-31 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 77 - 64
2011-02-05 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 73 - 59
2011-02-07 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 68 - 51
2011-02-12 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 84 - 66
2011-02-14 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 81 - 73
2011-02-19 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 58 - 62
2011-02-21 @ Monmouth Hawks L 51 - 60
2011-02-26 vs Wagner Seahawks W 79 - 69
2011-02-28 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 62 - 61
2011-03-05 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 72 - 59
2011-03-08 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 68 - 62
2011-03-13 vs Monmouth Hawks W 72 - 57
2011-03-20 @ Maryland Terrapins L 48 - 70

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Leach S. Leach G 3 0.0 13.3 0.7 1.3 2.0 0.0 4.0 11.7 1.7 17 25 0.7 0.9 42.9 60.0 66.7 0.05 53.1 51.4
B. Lilley B. Lilley NA 3 0.0 11.7 4.0 3.7 1.0 0.0 5.0 7.7 7.7 0 24 0.0 0.0 34.8 30.0 88.9 0.3 56.6 41.3
A. Daly A. Daly G 3 0.0 9.7 1.7 0.7 1.3 0.3 2.7 8.7 2.3 -12 25 -0.5 -0.7 42.3 38.9 0 -1.8 55.8 55.8
A. Williams A. Williams F 2 0.0 4.5 3.5 1.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 8.5 2.0 48 25 1.9 3.8 23.5 0.0 33.3 4.05 24.6 23.5
A. Smith A. Smith NA 3 0.0 1.3 2.3 2.0 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.3 3.7 -78 24 -3.2 -5.5 28.6 0 0.0 -4.6 25.4 28.6
S. Fleming S. Fleming NA 1 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 73 21 3.5 5.7 0.0 0 0 2.45 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG