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Saint Francis Red Flash

Also known as: Saint Francis Red Wolves
Program History

2010 Team Stats (2 games)

64.5
PPG
84.0
Opp
-19.5
Margin
32.6%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
57.9%
FT%
31.0
RPG
13.5
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.6
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#167
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1220 (#46) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1014 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1101 (#54) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.9 (#171) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -0.9 (#169) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.572 (#130) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.6 More โ†’ 0.453 (#174) AdjNet -1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.7 More โ†’ 0.451 (#175) AdjNet -1.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 67.0 More โ†’ 0.490 (#167) AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 67.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.551 (#123) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.566 (#139) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.577 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 111 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1068 (#122) RD 111 | GP 32

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 38 - 74
2009-11-17 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 64 - 77
2009-11-20 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 63 - 75
2009-11-24 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 70 - 75
2009-12-01 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 72 - 77
2009-12-06 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 68 - 51
2009-12-17 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 94 - 58
2009-12-21 vs Duquesne Dukes L 63 - 67
2009-12-28 @ Stetson Hatters W 63 - 61
2009-12-29 @ American University Eagles W 60 - 57
2009-12-31 @ South Florida Bulls L 74 - 86
2010-01-04 vs Wagner Seahawks L 74 - 76
2010-01-07 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 64 - 43
2010-01-09 @ LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 82 - 69
2010-01-14 vs Monmouth Hawks L 61 - 65
2010-01-16 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 65 - 61
2010-01-21 @ Monmouth Hawks L 74 - 77
2010-01-23 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 50 - 53
2010-01-28 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 73 - 38
2010-01-30 vs LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 91 - 80
2010-02-04 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 70 - 76
2010-02-06 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 48 - 79
2010-02-11 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 76 - 89
2010-02-13 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 64 - 45
2010-02-18 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 78 - 54
2010-02-20 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 75 - 69
2010-02-25 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 68 - 53
2010-02-27 @ Wagner Seahawks W 78 - 68
2010-03-06 @ Monmouth Hawks W 61 - 49
2010-03-07 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 80 - 79
2010-03-14 @ LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds W 77 - 68
2010-03-21 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 59 - 93

2010 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Leach S. Leach G 2 0.0 17.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 12.5 10.0 93 24 3.9 5.3 44.0 33.3 90.9 2.72 57.0 48.0
B. Hodges B. Hodges G 2 0.0 16.0 2.5 3.0 2.5 0.0 4.0 15.5 4.5 89 24 3.7 4.6 35.5 29.4 71.4 2.77 46.9 43.5
A. Daly A. Daly G 2 0.0 10.0 4.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 5.5 87 24 3.6 5.2 26.9 23.5 66.7 1.93 36.6 34.6
Q. Johnson Q. Johnson NA 2 0.0 2.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 9.0 -1.5 -23 24 -1.0 -1.8 11.1 20.0 0.0 -4.95 12.9 13.9
J. Killian J. Killian C 2 0.0 1.0 5.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.0 2.5 5.5 -15 23 -0.7 -1.8 20.0 0 0.0 -2.08 17.0 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG