Saint Francis Red Flash
2010 Team Stats (2 games)
64.5
PPG
84.0
Opp
-19.5
Margin
32.6%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
57.9%
FT%
31.0
RPG
13.5
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.6
Adj PPG
67.0
Adj Opp PPG
#167
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1220 (#46) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1014 (#157) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1101 (#54) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.9 (#171) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.9 (#169) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.572 (#130) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.453 (#174) | AdjNet -1.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.451 (#175) | AdjNet -1.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.490 (#167) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.551 (#123) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 65.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.566 (#139) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.577 (#131) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1068 (#122) | RD 111 | GP 32 |
2010 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-14 | @ | Marquette Golden Eagles | L | 38 - 74 |
| 2009-11-17 | vs | Delaware Blue Hens | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2009-11-20 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2009-11-24 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2009-12-01 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | L | 72 - 77 |
| 2009-12-06 | vs | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2009-12-17 | vs | Youngstown State Penguins | W | 94 - 58 |
| 2009-12-21 | vs | Duquesne Dukes | L | 63 - 67 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ | Stetson Hatters | W | 63 - 61 |
| 2009-12-29 | @ | American University Eagles | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2009-12-31 | @ | South Florida Bulls | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2010-01-04 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2010-01-07 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | W | 64 - 43 |
| 2010-01-09 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2010-01-14 | vs | Monmouth Hawks | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2010-01-16 | vs | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | W | 65 - 61 |
| 2010-01-21 | @ | Monmouth Hawks | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | L | 50 - 53 |
| 2010-01-28 | vs | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | W | 73 - 38 |
| 2010-01-30 | vs | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 91 - 80 |
| 2010-02-04 | vs | Robert Morris Colonials | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2010-02-06 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | L | 48 - 79 |
| 2010-02-11 | @ | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 76 - 89 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | W | 64 - 45 |
| 2010-02-18 | vs | Quinnipiac Bobcats | W | 78 - 54 |
| 2010-02-20 | vs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | W | 75 - 69 |
| 2010-02-25 | @ | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ | Wagner Seahawks | W | 78 - 68 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ | Monmouth Hawks | W | 61 - 49 |
| 2010-03-07 | @ | Robert Morris Colonials | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2010-03-14 | @ | LIU Brooklyn Blackbirds | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2010-03-21 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 59 - 93 |
2010 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Leach
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 93 | 24 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 44.0 | 33.3 | 90.9 | 2.72 | 57.0 | 48.0 |
B. Hodges
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 89 | 24 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 35.5 | 29.4 | 71.4 | 2.77 | 46.9 | 43.5 |
A. Daly
|
G | 2 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 5.5 | 87 | 24 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 26.9 | 23.5 | 66.7 | 1.93 | 36.6 | 34.6 |
Q. Johnson
|
NA | 2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 9.0 | -1.5 | -23 | 24 | -1.0 | -1.8 | 11.1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -4.95 | 12.9 | 13.9 |
J. Killian
|
C | 2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | -15 | 23 | -0.7 | -1.8 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.08 | 17.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG