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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

69.0
PPG
97.7
Opp
-28.7
Margin
41.6%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
27.3
RPG
10.0
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.2
Adj PPG
76.7
Adj Opp PPG
#214
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 918 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 982 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1019 (#148) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.2 (#228) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -5.3 (#248) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.522 (#157) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.3 More โ†’ 0.325 (#225) AdjNet -6.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.4 More โ†’ 0.324 (#224) AdjNet -6.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 76.7 More โ†’ 0.421 (#214) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 76.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 73.2 More โ†’ 0.472 (#198) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.421 (#215) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.431 (#214) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 29 More โ†’ 963 (#198) RD 125 | GP 29

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-11 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 68 - 85
2017-11-13 @ San Francisco Dons L 63 - 75
2017-11-18 @ Longwood Lancers W 83 - 56
2017-11-21 vs Franciscan Barons W 96 - 54
2017-11-24 @ Louisville Cardinals L 72 - 84
2017-11-29 vs American University Eagles W 100 - 89
2017-12-02 @ Stony Brook Seawolves L 83 - 85
2017-12-05 @ Duke Blue Devils L 67 - 124
2017-12-10 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 93 - 87
2017-12-18 vs Bethany (WV) Bison W 113 - 77
2017-12-21 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 84 - 70
2017-12-29 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 68 - 72
2017-12-31 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 86 - 82
2018-01-04 vs Long Island University Sharks W 85 - 68
2018-01-06 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 91 - 87
2018-01-11 @ Robert Morris Colonials W 89 - 80
2018-01-13 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 80 - 81
2018-01-18 @ Wagner Seahawks L 64 - 73
2018-01-20 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 73 - 60
2018-01-26 vs Wagner Seahawks L 61 - 91
2018-01-28 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 72 - 71
2018-02-01 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 74 - 60
2018-02-03 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 56 - 59
2018-02-08 @ Long Island University Sharks L 67 - 83
2018-02-10 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 90 - 65
2018-02-15 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 77 - 71
2018-02-17 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 89 - 56
2018-02-22 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 90 - 82
2018-02-24 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 80 - 60
2018-02-28 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 75 - 84
2018-03-14 @ UIC Flames L 61 - 84

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jamaal King Jamaal King G 27 30.4 18.2 3.1 3.4 1.1 0.0 3.0 1.7 21.1 100 24 4.2 5.8 40.4 41.2 75.0 -0.88 470.5 47.9
Keith Braxton Keith Braxton G 27 35.0 16.9 9.4 3.3 1.7 0.5 2.7 2.3 26.7 94 23 4.1 4.9 37.7 22.2 60.0 -0.09 336.5 41.0
Andre Wolford Andre Wolford G 27 28.9 14.6 3.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.8 1.1 17.2 152 23 6.6 9.1 43.3 40.9 84.6 3.33 552.9 58.3
Isaiah Blackmon Isaiah Blackmon G 3 28.0 14.3 3.0 1.0 1.7 0.3 1.3 4.7 14.3 - - - - 35.7 0.0 66.7 -0.99 140.3 35.7
Deivydas Kuzavas Deivydas Kuzavas F 27 20.4 6.1 4.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.7 10.3 31 24 1.3 2.8 61.1 0 62.5 -2.05 381.0 61.1
Mark Flagg Mark Flagg F 27 17.0 5.8 4.0 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.6 10.1 77 23 3.3 8.0 29.4 0.0 66.7 0.1 397.1 29.4
Randall Gaskins Randall Gaskins G 24 25.8 4.8 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 8.6 48 21 2.3 3.7 46.2 0.0 100.0 -1.47 414.3 46.2
Scott Meredith Scott Meredith G 27 14.7 4.7 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.4 6.3 97 24 4.0 12.0 50.0 42.9 100.0 3.23 588.2 65.0
Malik Harmon Malik Harmon G 26 20.6 3.9 1.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 7.0 -15 23 -0.7 -1.5 25.0 42.9 0 -4.13 425.0 37.5
Markus Vallien Markus Vallien G 11 4.3 2.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 2.6 16 9 1.8 17.0 50.0 100.0 75.0 -0.17 225.7 75.0
Daniel Wallace Daniel Wallace C 21 7.0 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.9 -14 16 -0.9 -5.3 16.7 0 0 -3.63 291.7 16.7
Jordan Forehand Jordan Forehand G 6 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 -18 5 -3.6 -50.1 0.0 0 100.0 -3.52 173.6 0.0
Deon Baker Deon Baker G 10 4.6 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 2.0 4 9 0.4 4.4 20.0 0 100.0 -1.62 137.9 20.0
Michael Klebon Michael Klebon G 7 3.7 1.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0 -16 6 -2.7 -33.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 -3.15 266.0 0.0
Tre McKeithen Tre McKeithen G 6 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -11 5 -2.2 -38.3 0 0 0 -2.58 0 0
Dan Henry Dan Henry G 5 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.45 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG