Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Braxton * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Blackmon * | 28 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Randall Gaskins * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal King * | 24 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Deivydas Kuzavas * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mark Flagg | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Malik Harmon | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Scott Meredith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andre Wolford | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Markus Vallien | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Deon Baker | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Klebon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Wallace | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Naar * | 33 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 29 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Ford * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Evan Fitzner * | 12 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tanner Krebs | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Cullen Neal | 17 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Thomas | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tommy Kuhse | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jock Perry | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dan Sheets | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter