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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

Also known as: St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Program History

2015 Team Stats (3 games)

75.7
PPG
75.0
Opp
+0.7
Margin
44.1%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
36.7
RPG
12.7
APG
10.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.7
Adj PPG
63.9
Adj Opp PPG
#219
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 940 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 980 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 967 (#218) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -3.7 (#225) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -4.4 (#244) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.468 (#181) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.8 More โ†’ 0.289 (#246) AdjNet -7.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.9 More โ†’ 0.286 (#246) AdjNet -7.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 63.9 More โ†’ 0.428 (#219) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 63.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 63.6 More โ†’ 0.457 (#223) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.385 (#235) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.391 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 31 More โ†’ 927 (#227) RD 121 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 37 - 52
2014-11-17 @ American University Eagles L 46 - 49
2014-11-20 vs Keystone Giants W 102 - 69
2014-11-22 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 57 - 53
2014-11-25 @ Texas Longhorns L 46 - 78
2014-11-29 @ Navy Midshipmen W 85 - 68
2014-12-03 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 59 - 61
2014-12-06 vs UAlbany Great Danes W 69 - 59
2014-12-17 @ Duquesne Dukes W 67 - 52
2014-12-20 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 73 - 68
2014-12-30 @ NJIT Highlanders L 65 - 77
2015-01-03 vs Wagner Seahawks W 85 - 68
2015-01-05 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 66 - 59
2015-01-08 @ Bryant Bulldogs L 54 - 80
2015-01-10 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 77 - 68
2015-01-16 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 79 - 78
2015-01-18 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 59 - 60
2015-01-22 @ Wagner Seahawks L 58 - 63
2015-01-24 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 40 - 52
2015-01-29 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 75 - 68
2015-01-31 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 68 - 63
2015-02-05 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 64 - 60
2015-02-07 @ Long Island University Sharks L 60 - 66
2015-02-12 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 74 - 63
2015-02-14 vs Long Island University Sharks L 74 - 79
2015-02-19 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 50 - 53
2015-02-21 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 54 - 66
2015-02-26 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 63 - 60
2015-02-28 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 70 - 71
2015-03-04 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 73 - 58
2015-03-07 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 48 - 62
2015-03-17 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 64 - 67

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Earl Brown Earl Brown F 30 35.2 15.9 8.1 1.9 1.1 1.0 3.3 2.8 22.0 52 27 1.9 2.4 51.8 25.0 78.8 1.11 245.1 53.0
Malik Harmon Malik Harmon G 30 30.9 9.1 2.1 2.6 1.1 0.1 1.8 1.4 11.8 30 27 1.1 1.6 46.5 48.0 84.6 0.09 281.2 60.5
Ronnie Drinnon Ronnie Drinnon F 27 29.6 8.4 7.6 1.2 1.5 0.5 1.3 2.4 15.5 42 24 1.8 2.6 39.4 50.0 65.4 0.3 145.9 40.2
Greg Brown Greg Brown G 30 27.7 8.3 2.8 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.3 1.5 11.3 51 27 1.9 3.1 50.0 26.7 80.0 0.57 246.0 54.3
Ollie Jackson Ollie Jackson G 30 24.3 7.6 2.8 1.3 0.8 0.4 1.4 1.8 9.6 17 27 0.6 1.1 41.8 37.5 85.7 -2.11 195.4 52.7
Ben Millaud-Meunier Ben Millaud-Meunier G 28 16.1 6.0 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.9 1.5 6.9 35 27 1.3 3.9 41.5 32.3 100.0 -0.08 194.4 53.7
Dominique Major Dominique Major G 29 18.4 4.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.9 5.4 18 27 0.7 1.6 20.0 15.0 85.7 -2.21 251.1 26.0
Basil Thompson Basil Thompson F 21 11.0 3.4 2.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 5.2 14 17 0.8 3.0 53.8 50.0 50.0 -0.99 255.8 61.5
Stephon Whyatt Stephon Whyatt G 22 10.9 2.7 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.9 0.7 3.6 -5 20 -0.2 -1.0 31.2 37.5 66.7 -2.41 160.9 40.6
Georgios Angelou Georgios Angelou G 6 4.7 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.3 1.2 - - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 -0.11 173.6 125.0
Patrick Wrencher Patrick Wrencher F 20 6.7 1.1 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 2.4 -13 18 -0.7 -5.1 50.0 0 0.0 -1.98 136.3 50.0
Dalton Cesarz Dalton Cesarz G 3 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - - 100.0 0 0 -1.83 100.0 100.0
S. Pitman S. Pitman G 3 2.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -1.83 113.6 0
Aric Gresko Aric Gresko G 6 2.8 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 -14 5 -2.8 -42.8 33.3 33.3 0 -2.45 50.0 50.0
Michael Clark Michael Clark F 12 3.6 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 -31 10 -3.1 -37.8 50.0 0 25.0 -5.74 52.1 50.0
Daniel Wallace Daniel Wallace C 6 2.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 -11 5 -2.2 -29.0 0.0 0 0 -1.73 150.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG