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2014-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% - โœ“
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 โœ— (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—

Actual: Duquesne Dukes -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Earl Brown * 37 7-13 0-0 2-3 6 2 2 0 6 16 7 -
Malik Harmon * 35 2-6 2-6 1-2 4 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
Greg Brown * 34 4-8 1-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 0 9 12 -
Ronnie Drinnon * 30 3-12 0-0 3-4 15 1 1 1 1 9 14 -
Ollie Jackson * 19 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 4 3 -
Ben Millaud-Meunier 21 5-10 3-7 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 14 7 -
Patrick Wrencher 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Stephon Whyatt 8 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
Georgios Angelou 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Basil Thompson 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Colter * 32 4-8 2-4 7-10 0 2 0 0 0 17 11 -
Jeremiah Jones * 31 4-9 1-3 1-2 7 2 1 0 3 10 8 -
Micah Mason * 29 2-7 2-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 6 6 -
TySean Powell * 23 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 0 1 2 2 5 7 -
L.G. Gill * 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Dominique McKoy 19 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Jordan Stevens 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 -
Eric James 9 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 -2 -
Darius Lewis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jordan Robinson 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
Desmond Ridenour 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter