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Robert Morris

Also known as: Robert Morris Colonials
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1073 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1040 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More β†’ 923 (#586) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More β†’ +17.5 (#266) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More β†’ +3.4 (#301) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 71.2 More β†’ 0.441 (#486) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.482 (#328) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.461 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 31 More β†’ 825 (#594) RD 156 | GP 31

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 @ UCF Knights L 59 - 69
2021-11-12 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 60 - 100
2021-11-15 @ Ohio Bobcats L 71 - 85
2021-11-19 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 70 - 74
2021-11-27 @ Davidson Wildcats L 70 - 88
2021-12-02 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 58 - 70
2021-12-04 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 69 - 77
2021-12-08 vs Lancaster Bible College Chargers W 99 - 51
2021-12-11 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 74 - 85
2021-12-19 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 74 - 100
2021-12-22 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 75 - 67
2021-12-30 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 61 - 79
2022-01-07 vs Cleveland State Vikings L 77 - 78
2022-01-09 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 70 - 76
2022-01-13 vs Wright State Raiders L 73 - 75
2022-01-15 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 74 - 64
2022-01-21 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 62 - 86
2022-01-23 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 68 - 75
2022-01-27 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 77 - 53
2022-01-29 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 62 - 60
2022-02-03 @ UIC Flames L 75 - 80
2022-02-05 @ IUPUI Jaguars W 66 - 49
2022-02-09 vs Detroit Mercy Titans L 62 - 79
2022-02-11 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 68 - 71
2022-02-13 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 73 - 68
2022-02-17 vs IUPUI Jaguars L 56 - 66
2022-02-19 vs UIC Flames L 88 - 96
2022-02-24 @ Northern Kentucky Norse L 64 - 78
2022-02-26 @ Wright State Raiders L 61 - 71
2022-03-01 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 77 - 73
2022-03-03 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 67 - 83

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Spear K. Spear - 31 32.9 14.8 7.8 1.6 0.9 1.0 2.3 1.4 22.6 -155 -4.8 -5.9 35.7 20.0 78.9 -0.56 454.7 36.9
T. Olison T. Olison G 2 32.0 14.5 5.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 21.0 50 1.5 1.9 0 0 0 0.09 0 0
Myles Thompson Myles Thompson - 1 27.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 16.0 -76 -3.6 -5.9 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
J. Pipkins J. Pipkins G 2 27.0 13.5 1.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 20.5 169 5.1 6.8 0 0 0 1.31 0 0
N. Opoku N. Opoku F 1 41.0 13.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 25.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
R. Dunn R. Dunn G 8 31.9 11.2 3.5 3.2 0.9 0.1 3.6 2.1 13.2 -76 -6.3 -7.9 35.3 33.3 70.0 -0.23 210.3 38.2
M. Green III M. Green III - 28 31.8 10.6 2.4 3.5 1.2 0.0 2.1 1.2 14.4 83 3.0 4.8 39.4 33.3 50.0 1.22 436.8 48.5
Kam Farris Kam Farris G 16 27.0 9.4 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 1.3 0.0 11.5 -75 -3.1 -4.7 0 0 0 -0.0 0 0
E. Cheeks E. Cheeks G 31 31.1 9.1 5.3 2.6 1.1 0.8 2.1 0.9 15.9 -75 -2.3 -3.1 41.4 40.0 80.0 0.59 422.2 44.8
C. Rosario C. Rosario F 1 14.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 44 1.8 9.2 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Justin Winston Justin Winston - 9 18.7 7.3 2.3 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.1 0.0 10.3 -54 -2.6 -5.0 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
J. Williams J. Williams - 15 26.0 6.5 2.2 0.9 0.8 0.3 1.8 0.0 8.9 -84 -3.4 -4.5 0 0 0 2.24 0 0
Brandon Stone Brandon Stone - 13 16.8 6.3 3.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 9.8 -95 -4.1 -9.7 0 0 0 -0.98 0 0
Matt Mayers Matt Mayers - 22 17.7 6.0 4.2 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 11.0 -40 -1.2 -2.7 0.0 0 0 0.44 6650.0 0.0
F. Flavors Jr. F. Flavors Jr. G 4 16.5 4.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.2 -95 -3.7 -11.8 33.3 37.5 0 2.41 94.4 50.0
O. Long O. Long G 2 9.0 3.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.5 27 0.9 3.5 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
J. Walker J. Walker - 2 8.5 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 5.0 309 8.6 11.6 0 0 0 1.46 0 0
M. Acunzo M. Acunzo F 3 7.7 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.3 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 70.0 20.0
M. Halvorsen M. Halvorsen G 1 23.0 2.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 -21 -0.7 -1.7 0 0 0 -0.57 0 0
T. Jeffries T. Jeffries - 11 10.5 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.3 3.5 3 0.3 1.0 33.3 50.0 0 0.14 366.7 50.0
L. Chicone L. Chicone G 2 11.5 1.0 1.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 55 2.1 6.6 0 0 0 0.45 0 0
Chase Cook Chase Cook G 15 5.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.9 -17 -0.7 -4.6 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
J. Thomas J. Thomas F 2 6.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 -291 -9.1 -14.1 0 0 0 1.05 0 0
P. Suemnick P. Suemnick F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Eichelberger A. Eichelberger F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Benford C. Benford F 2 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 -3 -0.1 -0.6 0 0 0 -0.61 0 0
D. Wassler D. Wassler - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Ogom R. Ogom - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52 10.4 57.9 0 0 0 0.69 0 0
E. Newsome E. Newsome G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 18 1.3 13.8 0 0 0 0.04 0 0
TJ Nagy TJ Nagy G 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
L. Rolon L. Rolon G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 20 0.9 3.5 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
S. Sims S. Sims F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -25 -1.9 -10.8 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
D. BΓΆhm D. BΓΆhm F 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -51 -2.5 -8.7 0 0 0 -0.9 0 0
Chris Ford Chris Ford - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33 1.0 5.2 0 0 0 0.39 0 0
T. Wyman T. Wyman - 1 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 27 3.0 19.2 0 0 0 0.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG