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Robert Morris

Also known as: Robert Morris Colonials
Program History

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

59.0
PPG
61.0
Opp
-2.0
Margin
41.1%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
100.0%
FT%
28.0
RPG
17.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.6
Adj PPG
63.7
Adj Opp PPG
#138
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1104 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1105 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1094 (#56) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +1.7 (#141) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +2.8 (#126) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.704 (#68) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.551 (#146) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More โ†’ 0.552 (#146) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 63.7 More โ†’ 0.543 (#138) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 63.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 62.0 More โ†’ 0.588 (#88) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 62.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.609 (#107) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.618 (#101) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1115 (#88) RD 108 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Rider Broncs L 54 - 79
2012-11-12 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 60 - 89
2012-11-13 vs Fordham Rams W 74 - 58
2012-11-17 @ Xavier Musketeers L 59 - 61
2012-11-19 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 71 - 60
2012-11-20 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 71 - 62
2012-11-26 @ Savannah State Tigers L 52 - 61
2012-12-01 vs Ohio Bobcats W 84 - 76
2012-12-04 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 61 - 58
2012-12-08 @ Hampton Pirates W 66 - 54
2012-12-15 vs Duquesne Dukes W 91 - 69
2012-12-18 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 66 - 61
2012-12-20 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 74 - 79
2013-01-03 vs Bryant Bulldogs L 77 - 84
2013-01-05 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 70 - 77
2013-01-10 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 88 - 54
2013-01-12 @ Monmouth Hawks W 70 - 55
2013-01-17 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 66 - 62
2013-01-19 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 87 - 75
2013-01-24 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 84 - 70
2013-01-26 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 76 - 68
2013-01-31 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers L 61 - 71
2013-02-02 @ Long Island University Sharks W 60 - 57
2013-02-06 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 60 - 48
2013-02-09 vs Wagner Seahawks W 83 - 79
2013-02-14 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 61 - 63
2013-02-16 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 68 - 63
2013-02-21 vs Monmouth Hawks W 77 - 65
2013-02-23 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 89 - 46
2013-02-28 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 77 - 75
2013-03-02 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 81 - 61
2013-03-06 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 75 - 57
2013-03-09 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 60 - 69
2013-03-19 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 59 - 57
2013-03-25 @ Providence Friars L 68 - 77

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Karvel Anderson Karvel Anderson G 33 25.0 12.5 2.6 1.1 0.8 0.2 1.2 1.2 14.8 3 7 0.4 0.8 50.0 43.5 100.0 -0.66 519.4 63.2
Lucky Jones Lucky Jones G 34 28.1 11.6 6.0 1.5 1.3 0.1 1.7 0.9 18.0 30 8 3.8 6.8 31.0 22.2 80.0 0.43 633.0 34.5
Russell Johnson Russell Johnson F 31 27.0 10.9 5.8 2.0 2.0 0.5 2.0 1.2 18.0 9 8 1.1 2.1 35.1 27.8 90.0 -0.14 409.4 41.9
Velton Jones Velton Jones G 31 25.2 10.6 1.7 5.1 1.6 0.1 2.5 1.3 15.4 28 8 3.5 6.0 37.5 47.1 73.3 0.88 353.0 47.5
Coron Williams Coron Williams G 35 24.7 9.1 2.2 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.9 0.8 11.6 21 8 2.6 4.8 41.4 36.4 100.0 -0.33 530.5 55.2
Mike McFadden Mike McFadden F 33 25.4 8.5 3.5 0.8 1.1 0.4 1.6 0.8 11.9 19 8 2.4 4.1 68.0 0 87.5 0.7 494.4 68.0
A. Myers-Pate A. Myers-Pate G 32 23.5 5.9 2.2 2.8 0.9 0.0 1.5 0.6 9.7 14 8 1.8 3.8 55.6 50.0 50.0 -0.53 460.3 63.9
David Appolon David Appolon G 29 13.7 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.2 4.6 -1 7 -0.1 -0.6 60.0 0 0 -2.78 810.0 60.0
Stephan Hawkins Stephan Hawkins F 35 11.9 2.5 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 4.9 - - - - 16.7 0 0 - 716.7 16.7
Vaughn Morgan Vaughn Morgan F 15 14.4 2.3 2.3 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.3 5.3 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.9 425.0 0.0
Keith Armstrong Keith Armstrong F 12 9.0 0.9 1.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 -0.27 292.6 0.0
Shane Sweigart Shane Sweigart - 7 2.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 0.0
Treadwell Lewis Treadwell Lewis G 6 2.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.2 -0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 -1.58 6.3 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG